Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Racing Club Warwick		Leiston

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.25
	2.57	3.57	2.37
	2.59	3.76	2.39	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.30
	2.57	3.88	2.36
	2.60	3.55	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.41)	3.61 ↓ (3.63)	2.33 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Club Warwick
35.6%

Draw
25.3%

Leiston
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

24.8%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

24.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Club Warwick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Club Warwick than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Racing Club Warwick - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 13th and 11th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

RC Warwick could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Racing Club Warwick	14	4	5	5	21:19	2	17
14	Leiston	12	4	3	5	22:23	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Leiston - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Warwick
English Southern League Central Division
03.10.26	Stourbridge - Racing Club Warwick	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Racing Club Warwick - Worcester City	2:2 ✺
21.09.26	Redditch United - Racing Club Warwick	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Racing Club Warwick - Anstey Nomads	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Racing Club Warwick - Stratford Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLLT
- Leiston
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Leiston - Coventry United	3:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.09.26	Real Bedford - Leiston	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Leiston - Dartford	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
22.09.26	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Banbury United - Leiston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

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