Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Peterborough Sports		Leiston

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.50	3.40
	1.85	3.5	3.3
	1.86	3.7	3.35
	1.89	3.98	3.46	Watch
	1.82	3.6	3.25
	1.82	3.66	3.49
	1.86	3.60	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.97)	3.65 ↑ (3.45)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Sports
48.6%

Draw
24.7%

Leiston
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

25.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Peterborough Sports - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Aitkens N. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Vince H. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Jackson E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 2 - 2, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
69', 2 - 3, Aitkens N. ⚽,
85', 2 - 4, Long O. ⚽,
90', 2 - 5, Mills A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough Sports won 3.

Peterborough Sports is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Leiston has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Peterborough Sports could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Peterborough Sports is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough Sports has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 23:7 (averaging 3.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Peterborough Sports against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:3 goals (averaging 4.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Peterborough Sports	14	6	5	3	27:23	4	23
14	Leiston	12	4	3	5	22:23	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Peterborough Sports - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.32%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Sports FC
English Southern League Central Division
17.10.26	Stratford Town - Peterborough Sports	1:1 ✺
13.10.26	Peterborough Sports - Banbury United	4:2 ✺
10.10.26	Hitchin Town - Peterborough Sports	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Leighton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:4 ✺
29.09.26	Peterborough Sports - Redditch United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWT
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
20.10.26	Kettering Town - Leiston	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Leiston - Guiseley	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
10.10.26	Racing Club Warwick - Leiston	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Leiston - Coventry United	3:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.09.26	Real Bedford - Leiston	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
22.09.26	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	0:2
English FA Trophy
21.11.23	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	1:4
English Southern League Central Division
23.04.22	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	0:0
11.09.21	Peterborough Sports - Leiston	1:2
17.10.20	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	1:4
14.12.19	Leiston - Peterborough Sports	2:4
28.09.19	Peterborough Sports - Leiston	8:1

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