Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Leiston		Biggleswade Town

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	6
	1.38	4.6	6.4
	1.4	5.07	6.12
	1.43	4.82	6.41	Watch
	1.37	4.5	6.79
	1.38	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.68 ↑ (4)	6.35 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
66%

Draw
19.6%

Biggleswade Town
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

22.6%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

15.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Biggleswade Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Leiston - Biggleswade Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Gouldbourne M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Jackson E. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Lewis-Burgess K. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Fowkes B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 2 - 3, Onyeagwara O. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Biggleswade Town is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiston won 2.

Recent matches Leiston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Biggleswade Town has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Biggleswade Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leiston is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leiston won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:16 (average 2.1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Lowestoft Town - Leiston	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Leiston - Halesowen Town	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Leiston - Banbury United	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Leiston - Bedford Town	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Alvechurch - Leiston	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLT
- Biggleswade Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Biggleswade Town - Kettering Town	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Biggleswade Town	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Biggleswade Town - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Barwell - Biggleswade Town	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Bishops Stortford	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	0:0
25.01.22	Leiston - Biggleswade Town	1:0
26.10.21	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	3:2
29.09.20	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	7:4
English FA Cup
22.09.20	Leiston - Biggleswade Town	5:1
English Southern League Central Division
17.09.19	Leiston - Biggleswade Town	0:4
05.03.19	Biggleswade Town - Leiston	1:2

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