Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Leixões		Braga

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.9	1.48
	6	3.9	1.46
	6.5	4.2	1.47	Watch
	7.73	4.13	1.45
	7.08	4.15	1.42	Watch
	7	4	1.4
	7.1	4.25	1.45
	6.5	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.93 ↑ (6.56)	4.09 ↑ (3.79)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
13.4%

Draw
22.7%

Braga
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

24.2%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

23.8%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Leixões - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Stefanovic I. (C) 20. Oliveira J. 3. Rafael Santos 14. Basto H. 15. Simaozinho 18. Alhassan I. 6. Paulinho 11. Andre 7. Werton 9. Rafael Martins 10. Paulite	1. Matheus (G) 13. Ferreira J. 4. Niakate S. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 11. Fernandes R. 6. Vitor Carvalho 8. Moutinho J. 77. Martinez G. 21. Horta R. (C) 9. El Ouazzani A. 7. Bruma
Substitutes
13. Evrard Zag 27. Fabinho 24. Figueira Daniel (G) 23. Henrique Gelain 12. Jean Felipe 70. Martins R. 77. Ndo R. 5. Rafael 16. Simoes A.	90. Fernandez Jaen R. 20. Gharbi I. 2. Gomez V. 29. Gorby 91. Hornicek L. (G) 10. Horta A. 19. Marin A. 33. Marques J. 3. Robson Bambu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Basto H. (Own goal),
27', Niakate S. 🟨,
29', Oliveira J. 🟨,
44', Alhassan I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Rafael Santos 🟨,
65', Rafael Santos 🟨,
65', Rafael Santos 🟥,
67', 0 - 2, Bruma ⚽,
67', Rafael Martins ↓, Rafael ↑,
68', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Gorby ↑,
68', Niakate S. ↓, Robson Bambu ↑,
76', Alhassan I. ↓, Evrard Zag ↑,
76', Paulite ↓, Martins R. ↑,
76', Werton ↓, Ndo R. ↑,
76', Bruma ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
76', El Ouazzani A. ↓, Fernandez Jaen R. ↑,
79', Paulinho 🟨,
83', Andre 🟨,
84', Moutinho J. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
85', Andre ↓, Fabinho ↑,
88', Gharbi I. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Leixões is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Braga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Braga is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.7:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
10.11.24	Leixões - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Leiria - Leixões	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Leixões - Porto B	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Leixões - Alcains	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.10.24	Tondela - Leixões	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
10.11.24	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Elfsborg - Braga	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.11.24	Arouca - Braga	1:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
31.10.24	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.10.24	Braga - Farense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.07.18	Braga - Leixões	1:2
Portuguese League Cup
20.01.16	Leixões - Braga	0:4
Taça de Portugal
19.10.12	Braga - Leixões	3:0 OT

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