Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday


	Lens		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.6	5
	1.72	3.6	5.2	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.7
	1.76	3.71	5.36
	1.7	3.7	5	Watch
	1.77	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	3.67 ↓ (3.7)	5.07 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
55.2%

Draw
26%

Nîmes
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

15.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nîmes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Lens - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: Lens will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Ligue 1 (Relegation)).

Lens has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Nîmes has a good chance of relegated (54%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Lens is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Nîmes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lens is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lens won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
18.04.21	Brest - Lens	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Lens - Lorient	4:1 ✺
03.04.21	Lens - Lyon	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Strasbourg - Lens	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	Lens - Metz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTWT
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
18.04.21	Nîmes - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
11.04.21	Brest - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
04.04.21	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
21.03.21	Lille - Nîmes	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	Nîmes - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
27.09.20	Nîmes - Lens	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
29.10.19	Nîmes - Lens	3:0
French Ligue 2
12.01.18	Nîmes - Lens	0:1
04.08.17	Lens - Nîmes	1:2
21.01.17	Lens - Nîmes	1:3
15.08.16	Nîmes - Lens	0:2
22.04.16	Nîmes - Lens	4:2

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