Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	11:00	Caze TV
Bulgaria	16:00	Nova Sport
Canada	10:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	15:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	09:00	ESPN 4
Finland	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	15:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 3
Israel	16:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	15:00	Ligue 1+, Sky Sport Calcio
Mexico	08:00	FOX One
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	15:00	Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	11:00	ESPN 4
Peru	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Russia	17:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	15:00	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
International	14:00	Onefootball


	Lens		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.75	10	Watch
	1.28	6	9.5
	1.27	5.9	10.5	Watch
	1.29	6.17	9.85
	1.26	6.01	10.5	Watch
	1.25	5.75	9
	1.3	6.06	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 (1.27)	5.95 ↓ (6.09)	9.98 ↑ (9.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
74.5%

Draw
16%

Metz
9.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.6%

15.6%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	9.7%	3.2%

Lens - Metz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Lens (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 4. Celik N. 25. Ganiou I. 20. Sarr M. 23. Abdulhamid S. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 19. Sima A. 11. Edouard O.	1. Fischer J. (G) 70. Sarr B. 38. Sane S. 5. Gbamin J. 2. Colin M. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 12. Toure A. 8. Traore B. 33. Munongo B. 11. Kvilitaia G. 30. Diallo H. (C)
Substitutes
26. Bermont A. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 34. Garnier E. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 39. Lenne O. 7. Sotoca F. 18. Sylla F.	9. Abuashvili G. 40. Ba O. (G) 20. Deminguet J. 10. Hein G. 39. Kouao K. 34. Mbala N. 4. Mboula U. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 15. Yegbe T.
Coaches
Sage P.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Gbamin J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Abdulhamid S. ⚽, Sima A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Traore B. ↓, Deminguet J. ↑,
46', Celik N. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Thauvin F. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
48', Toure A. 🟨,
52', 3 - 0, Haidara A. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
54', Munongo B. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
54', Kvilitaia G. ↓, Hein G. ↑,
63', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
63', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
72', Sarr B. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
73', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Mboula U. ↑,
73', Sangare M. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
83', Sima A. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
90', Mboula U. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 1.

Lens is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Metz has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lens is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Injury) Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Masuaku A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Melieres C. (Injury) Stambouli B. (Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Lens: Said W. (Injury) Saint-Maximin A. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Metz: Michal L. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lens won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16:12	4	13

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 2.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
Coupe De France
05.03.26	Lyon - Lens	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
27.02.26	Strasbourg - Lens	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lens - Monaco	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Paris FC - Lens	0:5 ✺
07.02.26	Lens - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Metz - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Metz - Lille	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Angers - Metz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Metz - Lens	2:0
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Lens - Metz	2:1
French Ligue 1
12.04.24	Metz - Lens	2:1
16.09.23	Lens - Metz	0:1
13.03.22	Metz - Lens	0:0
24.10.21	Lens - Metz	4:1
14.03.21	Lens - Metz	2:2

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