Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, Sky Sport Calcio
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4
World	Onefootball


	Lens		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.75	10	Watch
	1.28	6	9.5
	1.27	5.9	10.5	Watch
	1.29	6.17	9.85
	1.26	6.01	10.5	Watch
	1.25	5.75	9
	1.3	6.06	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 (1.27)	5.95 ↓ (6.09)	9.98 ↑ (9.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
74.5%

Draw
16%

Metz
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.6%

15.6%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	9.7%	3.2%

Lens - Metz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Lens (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 4. Celik N. 25. Ganiou I. 20. Sarr M. 23. Abdulhamid S. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 19. Sima A. 11. Edouard O.	1. Fischer J. (G) 70. Sarr B. 38. Sane S. 5. Gbamin J. 2. Colin M. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 12. Toure A. 8. Traore B. 33. Munongo B. 11. Kvilitaia G. 30. Diallo H. (C)
Substitutes
26. Bermont A. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 34. Garnier E. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 39. Lenne O. 7. Sotoca F. 18. Sylla F.	9. Abuashvili G. 40. Ba O. (G) 20. Deminguet J. 10. Hein G. 39. Kouao K. 34. Mbala N. 4. Mboula U. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 15. Yegbe T.
Coaches
Sage P.	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Gbamin J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Abdulhamid S. ⚽, Sima A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Traore B. ↓, Deminguet J. ↑,
46', Celik N. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Thauvin F. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
48', Toure A. 🟨,
52', 3 - 0, Haidara A. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
54', Munongo B. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
54', Kvilitaia G. ↓, Hein G. ↑,
63', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
63', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
72', Sarr B. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
73', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Mboula U. ↑,
73', Sangare M. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
83', Sima A. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
90', Mboula U. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 1.

Lens is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Metz has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lens is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Injury) Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Masuaku A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Melieres C. (Injury) Stambouli B. (Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Lens: Said W. (Injury) Saint-Maximin A. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Metz: Michal L. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lens won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 1.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
Coupe De France
05.03.26	Lyon - Lens	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
27.02.26	Strasbourg - Lens	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lens - Monaco	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Paris FC - Lens	0:5 ✺
07.02.26	Lens - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Metz - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Metz - Lille	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Angers - Metz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Metz - Lens	2:0
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Lens - Metz	2:1
French Ligue 1
12.04.24	Metz - Lens	2:1
16.09.23	Lens - Metz	0:1
13.03.22	Metz - Lens	0:0
24.10.21	Lens - Metz	4:1
14.03.21	Lens - Metz	2:2

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