Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui (Itagui)


	Leones		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.6	2.8	3
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.86	2.68	3.11
	2.5	2.7	3
	2.62	2.77	2.85
	2.55	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.6)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)	2.91 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
35.4%

Draw
33%

Boyacá Chicó
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	75%	6.2%

Leones - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Leones will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Leones won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Leones won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
24.09.22	Valledupar - Leones	3:3 ✺
18.09.22	Orsomarso - Leones	1:4 ✺
12.09.22	Leones - Atlético Huila	2:2 ✺
07.09.22	Atlético Cali - Leones	4:0 ✺
02.09.22	Leones - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTLT
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera B
23.09.22	Boyacá Chicó - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
19.09.22	Real Santander - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
12.09.22	Boyacá Chicó - Bogotá	0:2 ✺
08.09.22	Deportes Quindío - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
02.09.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
06.06.22	Leones - Boyacá Chicó	0:0
09.05.22	Boyacá Chicó - Leones	1:1
16.02.22	Boyacá Chicó - Leones	1:0
05.12.21	Boyacá Chicó - Leones	1:1
09.11.21	Leones - Boyacá Chicó	0:0
09.08.21	Leones - Boyacá Chicó	0:0
31.08.19	Leones - Boyacá Chicó	1:0

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