Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura Reserves - Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Leones Negros 2		Aguacateros CDU Uruapan

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.92	3.08	4.13
	1.85	3.26	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.12)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	4 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros 2
48.4%

Draw
28.8%

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27.9%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

26.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aguacateros CDU Uruapan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguacateros CDU Uruapan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Leones Negros 2 - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.12.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Leones Negros 2	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:0 ✺
04.12.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Los Cabos United - Leones Negros 2	0:3 ✺
23.11.24	Colima - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWWWW
- Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.12.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Leones Negros 2	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Lobos ULMX	3:2 ✺
04.12.24	Lobos ULMX - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Aguacateros de Peribán	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.12.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Leones Negros 2	1:1

Leones Negros 2 - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide