Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura Reserves - Play Offs - Final

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday


	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan		Leones Negros 2

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.12	3.15	3.39
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.25
	2.13	3.02	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.75)	3.12 ↓ (3.5)	3.27 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
43.3%

Draw
29%

Leones Negros 2
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aguacateros CDU Uruapan's form might have worsened.

Leones Negros 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leones Negros 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguacateros CDU Uruapan than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aguacateros CDU Uruapan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (-5%)

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Leones Negros 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 🟥,
85', Avila Jaimes H. E. 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 and 4).

Recent matches Aguacateros is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leones Negros 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Aguacateros have a series of home games.

In this match Aguacateros is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.12.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Lobos ULMX	3:2 ✺
04.12.24	Lobos ULMX - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Aguacateros de Peribán	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Irapuato	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.12.24	Leones Negros 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:0 ✺
04.12.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Leones Negros 2	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Los Cabos United - Leones Negros 2	0:3 ✺
23.11.24	Colima - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Leones Negros 2 - Zapotlanejo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWL

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Leones Negros 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide