Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura Reserves - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday


	Lobos ULMX		Aguacateros CDU Uruapan

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.2
	2.96	3.15	2.31
	2.93	3.33	2.24	Watch
	2.88	3.2	2.2
	2.96	3.14	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.74)	3.18 ↓ (3.19)	2.24 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos ULMX
31.2%

Draw
28.4%

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

27.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos ULMX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguacateros CDU Uruapan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Lobos ULMX - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Castrejon U. 🟨,
42', Escoto A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Molina C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟨,
79', Lopez L. 🟨,
81', Morales R. 🟥,
86', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.11.24	Lobos ULMX - Halcones	2:3 penalties ✺
16.11.24	Jaguares de Chiapas - Lobos ULMX	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	La Piedad - Lobos ULMX	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Lobos ULMX - Petroleros Salamanca	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Halcones - Lobos ULMX	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTLT
- Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Aguacateros de Peribán	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Irapuato	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Colima - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.09.24	Lobos ULMX - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	1:1
18.03.23	Lobos ULMX - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	0:0
22.10.22	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Lobos ULMX	1:1

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