Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Leones Negros UdeG		Irapuato

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.25	3.54	3.21
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	2.17	3.4	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.72)	3.47 ↓ (3.76)	3.35 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros UdeG
45.6%

Draw
26.7%

Irapuato
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros UdeG's form might have worsened.

Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Irapuato's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Leones Negros UdeG - Irapuato Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Irapuato will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lopez F. (G) 10. Brigido J. 9. Camacho Lastra R. E. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 8. Fierro C. 20. Flores B. 4. Ledesma A. (C) 13. Lopez R. 7. Rivera E. 2. Sanchez J. 5. Torres U.	20. Hernandez H. (C) 3. Alvarado V. 6. del Angel E. 5. Elbis 28. Gamboa J. 31. Pena R. 10. Rangel J. 34. Ruiz J. 25. Sanchez B. 16. Sandoval R. 19. Santana C.
Substitutes
24. Aguayo J. 25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 15. Carreon A. 3. Flores L. 81. Madrigal K. 82. Meza U. 18. Munoz D. 11. Perez J. 86. Torres D. 87. Valenzuela M.	17. Cervantes D. 14. de Alba J. 1. Magana G. (G) 13. Martinez R. 22. Munoz G. 9. Pucheta J. 4. Rivera M. 26. Santillan E. 7. Sosa J. 23. Zamudio J.
Coaches
Sosa L.	Alcantar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Sanchez B. ⚽,
28', Fierro C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
32', Sanchez J. 🟨,
42', Torres U. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Ruiz J. ⚽, Santana C. (A),
45+6', Alvarado V. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Rivera E. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
46', 1 - 2, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ⚽,
52', 2 - 2, Camacho Lastra R. E. ⚽, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. (A),
56', Gamboa J. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
57', Rangel J. ↓, Pucheta J. ↑,
68', Santana C. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
77', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
77', Lopez R. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
77', Flores B. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Munoz D. ⚽,
85', Ruiz J. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
85', Alvarado V. ↓, Zamudio J. ↑,
87', 4 - 2, Munoz D. ⚽, Torres U. (A),
90', Zamudio J. 🟨,
90+5', Valenzuela M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
02.08.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	2:0 penalties ✺
17.05.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.08.25	Irapuato - Venados	4:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.05.25	Irapuato - Aguacateros de Peribán	1:1 ✺
07.05.25	Irapuato - Aguacateros de Peribán	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Irapuato - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
30.04.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Irapuato	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
20.04.13	Irapuato - Leones Negros UdeG	0:1
02.11.12	Leones Negros UdeG - Irapuato	1:1

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