The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leones Negros UdeG 49.4%
Draw 24.8%
Venados 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
22.5%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
24.1%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros UdeG's form might have worsened.
Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros UdeG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venados, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Leones Negros UdeG - Venados Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Venados will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
30. Lopez F. (G) 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 8. Fierro C. 4. Ledesma A. 13. Lopez R. 82. Meza U. 18. Munoz D. 7. Rivera E. 2. Sanchez J. 5. Torres U. 87. Valenzuela M.
28. Delgado A. (G) 18. Amador K. 7. Calero J. 2. Casillas J. 19. Catalan A. 8. Dominguez A. 10. Guzman W. 11. Madrid W. 15. Navarrete D. 25. Trejo Castro M. A. 33. Vidrio N.
Substitutes
24. Aguayo J. 10. Brigido J. 9. Camacho Lastra R. E. 25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 3. Flores L. 88. Gonzalez O. 85. Hernandez A. 81. Madrigal K. 11. Perez J. 86. Torres D.
12. Acosta C. 143. Benitez S. 23. Galvan P. 4. Grijalva A. 3. Levin J. 21. Lopez C. 6. Lopez F. 5. Miranda J. 1. Reyes D. (G) 30. Torres Sauri M.
Coaches
Sosa L.
Garcia I. C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Catalan A. 🟨,
43', Meza U. 🟨,
45+2', Trejo Castro M. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fierro C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
46', Rivera E. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
57', Sanchez J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
58', Torres U. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
67', Amador K. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
67', Guzman W. ↓, Galvan P. ↑,
68', Calero J. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
68', Madrid W. ↓, Acosta C. ↑,
74', Meza U. ↓, Aguayo J. ↑,
82', Catalan A. 🟨,
86', Navarrete D. ↓, Grijalva A. ↑,
88', Lopez C. 🟨,
89', 1 - 0, Ledesma A. ⚽,
90+2', Casillas J. 🟨,
90+7', Ledesma A. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 2.
In recent matches, Leones Negros UdeG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Venados is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 2.3:0.6).
Mexico
Usa
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Lopez F. (G) 
Calero J. 
Garcia I. C. 
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