Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Prado (Talavera de la Reina)


	Talavera de la Reina		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.5	2.9	2.65
	2.35	2.9	2.9
	2.65	2.9	2.44
	2.51	3.08	2.93
	2.51	3.08	2.84
	2.55	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.75)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	2.74 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
36.2%

Draw
30.7%

Algeciras
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

32.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

30.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Talavera de la Reina - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Recent matches Talavera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Algeciras is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.01.23	Linares Deportivo - Talavera de la Reina	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Talavera de la Reina - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Talavera de la Reina - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Talavera de la Reina - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTWT
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.01.23	Algeciras - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Algeciras - Linares Deportivo	3:3 ✺
08.01.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Algeciras - Pontevedra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.10.22	Algeciras - Talavera de la Reina	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.10.19	Algeciras - Talavera de la Reina	0:3

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