Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	6
	1.63	3.4	4.6
	1.58	3.7	5.6
	1.53	3.94	6.36
	1.52	3.77	6	Watch
	1.58	3.61	6.2
	1.58	3.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	3.66 ↑ (3.48)	5.77 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
58.9%

Draw
25.2%

Barakaldo
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

26.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

25.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Leonesa - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (C) 12. Ortega G. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 7. Calderon C. 16. Maestre S. 10. Chacon L. 14. Bicho 11. Samanes S. 9. Justo M.	1. Tena J. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 15. Muguruza A. 12. Artetxe M. 4. Jelbat A. 7. Pedernales I. 8. Huidobro J. 14. Txoperena U. 5. Molina E. 11. Revilla A. 9. Valino A.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 13. Amigo (G) 21. Artola J. 8. Barri 19. Escobar A. 2. Garcia V. 18. Lanchi 31. Martinez I. 6. Presa K. 4. Rodri Suarez 28. Ruiz A. 15. Ruiz V.	23. Bilbao L. 22. Bujan U. 19. Isuskiza V. 20. Martinez J. 6. Naveira U. 13. Perez U. (G) 24. Salado A. 18. Santiago P. 21. Uriarte K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Revilla A. 🟨,
26', Maestre S. 🟨,
28', Jelbat A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Samanes S. ⚽,
40', Maestre S. ↓, Barri ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Txoperena U. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
69', Samanes S. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
69', Justo M. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Barri ⚽,
76', Molina E. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
76', Valino A. ↓, Isuskiza V. ↑,
77', Calderon C. 🟨,
83', Bicho ↓, Lanchi ↑,
83', Calderon C. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
83', Ortega G. 🟨,
87', Jelbat A. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
87', Huidobro J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Leonesa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.25	Ourense CF - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tarazona - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Leonesa - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.25	Barakaldo - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Barakaldo - Sestao	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.24	Barakaldo - Leonesa	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.10.19	Barakaldo - Leonesa	0:0

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