Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Leonesa		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.2	3.9	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.75
	2.10	3.22	3.68	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.72	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	3.77 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
46%

Draw
29.2%

Mirandés
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Leonesa - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mirandés will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 17. Calero I. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 22. Pibe 28. Ojeda T. 23. Diallo Selu M. 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M. 19. Sobrino R.	1. Nikic I. (G) 5. Pica A. 4. Pascual M. 24. Cordoba I. 2. Novoa Ramos H. 6. Helguera T. 26. Bauza R. 17. Perez P. 10. Fernandez C. (C) 14. Mari A. 11. Cardero A.
Substitutes
1. Banuz M. (G) 7. Collado D. 11. Cortes P. 5. Fornos Q. 24. Garcia V. 8. Gonzalez Y. 33. Larios J. 6. Maestre S. 2. Mboula J. 18. Paraschiv D. 15. Ribeiro L. 16. Ribeiro T.	18. Barea Fernandez I. 30. El Jebari S. 20. Eto'o E. 19. Illesca M. 13. Juanpa (G) 8. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 9. Petit G. 21. Postigo S. 27. Tamarit T. 7. Varela I.
Coaches
Ziganda C.	Justo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Chacon L. ⚽, Diallo Selu M. (A),
29', Fernandez C. 🟨,
33', Bauza R. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Fernandez C. ⚽, Cardero A. (A),
39', Cardero A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Tamarit T. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Pibe ⚽, Calero I. (A),
65', Justo M. ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Fernandez C. ⚽, Tamarit T. (A),
72', Helguera T. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
77', Mari A. ↓, Barea Fernandez I. ↑,
77', Cardero A. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
81', Pibe ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
82', Sobrino R. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
88', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Ribeiro L. ⚽, Calero I. (A),
90', Pica A. ↓, Petit G. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Leonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leonesa could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Mirandés: Gutierrez J. (Yellow Cards) Lopez P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mirandés: Martin Luis A. (Injury) Novoa Ramos H. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.99%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Mirandés - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 25.67%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Tropezón - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Leonesa - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Zaragoza - Leonesa	0:5 ✺
13.10.25	Córdoba - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.10.25	Leonesa - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWLT
- CD Mirandés
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Mirandés - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Ceuta - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Mirandés - Leganés	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Valladolid - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.16	Mirandés - Leonesa	0:2

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