Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Leonesa		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.3	7
	1.46	3.6	7
	1.48	3.7	7.4
	1.49	3.65	7.52
	1.48	3.54	7.77	Watch
	1.47	3.68	7.65
	1.48	3.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)	3.6 ↑ (3.15)	7.39 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
62.1%

Draw
25.5%

Tarazona
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

29.1%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

27.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Leonesa - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 3. Satrustegui E. 5. Fornos Q. 17. Martinez A. 7. Calderon C. 14. Bicho 10. Chacon L. 8. Barri 21. Artola J. 9. Justo M.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 4. Trilles M. 5. Murria V. 3. Martinez Chechu 7. Areso J. 12. Cedeno E. 23. Rico M. 14. Buyla J. 11. Martin J. 19. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 19. Escobar A. 16. Maestre S. 12. Ortega G. 6. Presa K. 4. Rodri Suarez 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V.	18. Alvarez M. 16. Camero M. 9. Cubillas D. 17. Gil I. 22. Llacer L. 10. Mena P. 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 15. Rodriguez J. 8. Romero B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Fuentes A. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Justo M. ⚽,
44', Fornos Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Fuentes A. ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
56', Martin J. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
67', Fornos Q. ↓, Rodri Suarez ↑,
68', Bicho ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
68', Artola J. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
68', Areso J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
76', Martinez Chechu ↓, Llacer L. ↑,
76', Garcia V. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
78', Fuoli D. 🟨,
82', Gil I. 🟨,
83', Satrustegui E. 🟨,
84', Barri ↓, Presa K. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Alba T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 12).

Leonesa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tarazona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tarazona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leonesa is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leonesa to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.09.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Leonesa - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Zamora - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Arenteiro - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWTW
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.10.24	Tarazona - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
27.09.24	Tarazona - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Tarazona - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Zamora - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.03.24	Leonesa - Tarazona	1:1
09.09.23	Tarazona - Leonesa	0:0

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