Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 34

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Laagri kunstmurustaadion (Laagri) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)


	Harju JK Laagri		Flora Tallinn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.30	3.60	1.83
	3.7	3.85	1.78
	3.76	4.11	1.87
	3.29	4.4	1.86	Watch
	3.7	3.95	1.8
	3.54	3.95	1.88	Watch
	3.55	3.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 (3.55)	3.96 ↑ (3.8)	1.83 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harju JK Laagri
26.1%

Draw
23.4%

Flora Tallinn
50.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.5%

23.8%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

23.5%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Harju JK Laagri - Flora Tallinn Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Flora Tallinn will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vainula J. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 20. Vaher A. 24. Laur K. 88. Seck M. 23. Rudenko Daniil 21. Soo S. 17. Kelement M. 9. Eerme K. 16. Kriis K. (C) 19. Binate A.	33. Grunvald E. (G) 8. Teevali T. 23. Kolobov M. 6. Veering R. 67. Antonov I. 32. Kreida V. 18. Valdmets R. 7. Kuraksin D. 14. Varjund T. (C) 29. Alamaa S. 50. Sorga E.
Substitutes
10. Assale Y. E. 18. Bah I. 4. Jarve A. 41. Kajari E. 22. Kesa M. 11. Kose A. 15. Liit S. 79. Meesit R. (G) 53. Ndakala J. 66. Roomussaar K. 95. Suppi S.	4. Jekimov M. 89. Kalimullin M. 99. Kivila K. (G) 3. Kollo A. 49. Kukkonen M. 24. Pihela O. 53. Sammul R. 26. Tovstik S. 17. Usta T. 20. Zenjov S. 55. Zotov D.
Coaches
Nuuma L.	Mool K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Laur K. ⚽, Rudenko Daniil (A),
7', 2 - 0, Kelement M. ⚽,
18', 3 - 0, Laur K. ⚽, Kelement M. (A),
28', Varjund T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Eerme K. ↓, Roomussaar K. ↑,
61', Kriis K. ↓, Assale Y. E. ↑,
61', Kuraksin D. ↓, Zenjov S. ↑,
67', Palutaja H. ↓, Jarve A. ↑,
71', Varjund T. ↓, Zotov D. ↑,
71', Alamaa S. ↓, Kukkonen M. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Sorga E. ⚽,
81', Zenjov S. 🟨,
82', Binate A. ↓, Ndakala J. ↑,
82', Soo S. ↓, Kajari E. ↑,
84', Valdmets R. ↓, Usta T. ↑,
84', Sorga E. ↓, Kalimullin M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1.

Harju has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Flora has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Harju could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Flora is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Harju has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:28 (averaging 0.6:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Harju against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:9 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flora	34	19	1	14	64:49	15	58
6	Harju JK Laagri	34	15	2	17	49:50	-1	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.10.26	Harju JK Laagri - Pärnu Vaprus	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme United	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	0:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
03.10.26	FC Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	0:10 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWT
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.10.26	Flora Tallinn - Tammeka	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
02.08.26	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	1:0
30.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	5:0
22.03.26	Harju JK Laagri - Flora Tallinn	2:0
04.10.25	Harju JK Laagri - Flora Tallinn	1:2
16.08.25	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	3:1
09.05.25	Harju JK Laagri - Flora Tallinn	0:3
22.04.25	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	4:1

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