The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pärnu Vaprus 70.1%
Draw 18.3%
Tallinna Kalev 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
16.4%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
15.4%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+4%)
Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Nomm O. (C) 28. Lipp M. 24. Villota M. 15. Aloe K. 90. Sild J. 8. Pajo T. 17. Kapper S. 11. Kauber K. 7. Vallik V. 42. Limberg M. 18. Paalberg M.
13. Weinstein M. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 15. Ojamaa H. 44. Dubackic D. 5. Kollo A. 16. Surogin A. 21. Petrunin D. 18. Mihhailov V. (C) 20. Udebuluzor M. 50. Sambe F. 9. Usta T.
Substitutes
5. Aer S. 64. Allas J. 47. Kolvart S. 19. Korre A. 44. Lukas R. 14. Orm R. 9. Poder J. 3. Rand K. 1. Vainu H. (G) 10. Veensalu E. 4. Villota M.
45. Bamijoko A. 2. Famuditimi H. 4. Jallow M. 10. Jurisoo T. 99. Lepp S. (G) 12. Purje A. 37. Sheviakov D. 17. Smirnov R. 24. Sukunda Z. 14. Svedovski A.
Coaches
Prins I.
Barengrub A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Sild J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Limberg M. ⚽, Pajo T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Petrunin D. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
57', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
70', Ojamaa H. ↓, Bamijoko A. ↑,
70', Mihhailov V. ↓, Jurisoo T. ↑,
72', Surogin A. 🟨,
90', Kauber K. ↓, Kolvart S. ↑,
90+11', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 3.
Pärnu Vaprus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kalev has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Pärnu Vaprus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is the clear favorite.
We predict that Pärnu Vaprus will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
Estonia
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Nomm O. (C) 
Weinstein M. (G) 
Dubackic D. 
Udebuluzor M. 
Sambe F. 
Bamijoko A. 
Famuditimi H. 
Jallow M. 
Sheviakov D. 
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