The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kuressaare 46.3%
Draw 25.5%
Tallinna Kalev 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
26.3%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
25%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kuressaare's performance.
Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Kuressaare - Tallinna Kalev Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kuressaare will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kuressaare (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Nomm K. (G) 23. Saar R. 24. Pihela O. 15. Pajunurm M. (C) 27. Prunn S. 5. Sinilaid S. 67. Antonov I. 77. Demidov E. 37. Leivategija M. 11. Iljin A. 10. Kivi A.
13. Weinstein M. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 15. Ojamaa H. 44. Dubackic D. 22. Sotsugov D. 2. Famuditimi H. 21. Petrunin D. 18. Mihhailov V. (C) 12. Purje A. 50. Sambe F. 9. Usta T.
Substitutes
20. Domov P. 19. Jekimov M. 7. Jermatsenko A. 14. Kobin J. 66. Meesit R. (G) 73. Orren K. 16. Smirnov A. 80. Tarkmeel R. 70. Vahermagi J. 13. Visse A.
45. Bamijoko A. 10. Jurisoo T. 16. Kollo A. 99. Lepp S. (G) 24. Sukunda Z. 14. Svedovski A. 20. Tomberg M.
Coaches
Post S.
Barengrub A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Famuditimi H. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Usta T. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Sinilaid S. ↓, Domov P. ↑,
59', Prunn S. 🟨,
63', Mihhailov V. ↓, Jurisoo T. ↑,
63', Sambe F. ↓, Sukunda Z. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Pajunurm M. (Pen),
70', Purje A. ↓, Udebuluzor M. ↑,
75', Kivi A. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
75', Prunn S. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
78', Sotsugov D. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Pajunurm M. ⚽,
81', Iljin A. ↓, Kobin J. ↑,
87', Famuditimi H. ↓, Svedovski A. ↑,
90+3', Vahermagi J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 3.
In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
Kuressaare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Kuressaare might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Kuressaare - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.