Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 26

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)

Referee: Uprus T. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Tallinna Kalev		Flora Tallinn

	1	X	2
	12	7.75	1.14
	16.5	8.3	1.1
	15.35	8.94	1.12
	8.39	5.78	1.28	Watch
	15	6.5	1.15
	16.5	7.3	1.12
	13.4	6.7	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.88 ↑ (13.7)	7.32 ↑ (6.7)	1.15 ↓ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
6.7%

Draw
12.7%

Flora Tallinn
80.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.7%

13.8%

79.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tallinna Kalev have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tallinna Kalev - Flora Tallinn Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.25 - Kalev (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalev (votes: 1 - 50%). Flora (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Weinstein M. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 4. Jallow M. 45. Bamijoko A. 22. Sotsugov D. (C) 21. Petrunin D. 17. Smirnov R. 9. Usta T. 14. Svedovski A. 10. Jurisoo T. 12. Purje A.	99. Kivila K. (G) 4. Lukka M. 5. Vaher A. 16. Tougjas E. (C) 2. Kalmokov N. 30. Teevali T. 15. Andreas D. 7. Kuraksin D. 13. Mihhailov N. 17. Roivassepp G. 11. Sappinen R.
Substitutes
23. Ernits R. 5. Kollo A. 99. Lepp S. (G) 18. Mihhailov V. 50. Sambe F. 37. Sheviakov D. 16. Surogin A. 19. Tomberg M. 20. Udebuluzor M.	29. Alamaa S. 9. Alliku R. 21. Kaares A. 89. Kalimullin M. 23. Kolobov M. 32. Kreida V. 78. Kukk M. 77. Lapa K. (G) 22. Lepik M. 28. Tovstik S. 6. Veering R.
Coaches
Barengrub A.	Vasiliev K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Vaher A. 🟨,
34', Bamijoko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Andreas D. ↓, Kaares A. ↑,
46', Roivassepp G. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
46', Vaher A. ↓, Veering R. ↑,
59', Smirnov R. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Alliku R. ⚽, Sappinen R. (A),
61', Teevali T. ↓, Kreida V. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Sappinen R. ⚽, Kuraksin D. (A),
66', Jurisoo T. ↓, Mihhailov V. ↑,
66', Purje A. ↓, Udebuluzor M. ↑,
72', 0 - 3, Alliku R. ⚽, Kreida V. (A),
78', Sappinen R. ↓, Lepik M. ↑,
79', Svedovski A. ↓, Sambe F. ↑,
79', Sotsugov D. ↓, Kollo A. ↑,
90', 0 - 4, Kuraksin D. ⚽, Kreida V. (A),
90+4', Jallow M. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 0.

Kalev has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Flora is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Flora is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 12:60. (average 0.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:29. (average 0.6:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga
23.08.25	Narva Trans - Tallinna Kalev	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn	1:6 ✺
09.08.25	Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev	2:2 ✺
05.08.25	Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Nõmme Kalju - Tallinna Kalev	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTLL
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
24.08.25	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Tammeka - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Flora Tallinn - Valur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
29.06.25	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	3:1
15.03.25	Tallinna Kalev - Flora Tallinn	0:4
09.11.24	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	5:1
29.05.24	Tallinna Kalev - Flora Tallinn	2:3
01.05.24	Tallinna Kalev - Flora Tallinn	0:3
10.03.24	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	2:2
22.09.23	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	1:0

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