Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Levadia Stadium (Levadia)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Usa	SportPlus


	Levadiakos		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.62	Watch
	6.75	4.2	1.46
	5.2	3.85	1.64
	6.92	4.22	1.46
	5.82	2.50	2.01	Watch
	5.55	3.92	1.62	Watch
	8.2	4.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.21 ↓ (9.15)	3.84 ↓ (4.45)	1.59 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadiakos
15.4%

Draw
24.8%

AEK Athens
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

21.1%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.7%

20.2%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadiakos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadiakos's performance.

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levadiakos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Levadiakos - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Levadiakos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). AEK will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadiakos (votes: 2 - 40%). AEK (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Levadiakos (1.92) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 - AEK (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadiakos (votes: 3 - 37.5%). AEK (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lodygin Y. (G) 6. Tsapras T. 24. Liagas P. (C) 4. Abu Hanna J. 3. Vichos P. 36. Tshibola A. 23. Cokaj E. 34. Palacios S. 18. Kosti I. 7. Layous H. 9. Ozbolt A.	1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 18. Marin R. 13. Pineda O. 19. Eliasson N. 20. Mantalos P. (C) 7. Kutesa D. 9. Jovic L.
Substitutes
88. Anacker L. (G) 11. Balzi G. 22. Filon T. 85. Goumas K. 19. Jallow L. 2. Katris G. 14. Manthatis G. 15. Pedrozo F. 55. Sourdis G. (G) 31. Symelidis P. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 77. Verbic B.	81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 55. Chrysopoulos K. 4. Grujic M. 17. Kaloskamis D. 11. Koita A. 34. Kosidis C. 23. Ljubicic R. 29. Penrice J. 14. Pierrot F. 21. Vida D. 90. Zini
Coaches
Papadopoulos N.	Nikolic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Kutesa D. 🟨,
57', Layous H. ↓, Verbic B. ↑,
62', Kutesa D. ↓, Zini ↑,
62', Marin R. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
65', Kosti I. 🟨,
69', 0 - 1, Koita A. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
74', Mantalos P. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,
74', Tshibola A. ↓, Balzi G. ↑,
81', Jovic L. ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
81', Eliasson N. ↓, Kaloskamis D. ↑,
83', Ljubicic R. 🟨,
86', Verbic B. 🟨,
89', Palacios S. ↓, Pedrozo F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 0.

Levadiakos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AEK is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Levadiakos has had a series of away games.

Recently, AEK has had a series of home games.

In this match, AEK is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 8:37. (average 0.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Levadiakos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.4:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadiakos FC
Greek Super League
31.08.25	Panathinaikos - Levadiakos	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Levadiakos - AE Kifisia	3:2 ✺
Greek Cup
18.08.25	Makedonikos - Levadiakos	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.25	Volos - Levadiakos	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWWLW
- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
31.08.25	AEK Athens - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	AEK Athens - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
24.08.25	AEK Athens - Panserraikos	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Anderlecht - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
14.08.25	AEK Athens - Aris Limassol	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
22.12.24	AEK Athens - Levadiakos	1:1
01.09.24	Levadiakos - AEK Athens	0:3
13.02.23	AEK Athens - Levadiakos	3:0
24.10.22	Levadiakos - AEK Athens	0:2
05.05.19	Levadiakos - AEK Athens	0:3
30.01.19	AEK Athens - Levadiakos	1:0
22.04.18	AEK Athens - Levadiakos	2:0

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