Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: OPAP Arena (Athens)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
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Serbia	Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 2


	AEK Athens		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.2
	2.28	3.25	2.98	Watch
	2.35	3.45	3.08
	2.13	3.40	3.26	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.33	3.5	3.06	Watch
	1.89	3.39	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.89)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	3.15 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
42.5%

Draw
27.9%

Anderlecht
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.5%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Athens's form might have worsened.

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

AEK Athens - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Anderlecht (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 19. Eliasson N. 13. Pineda O. 18. Marin R. 7. Kutesa D. 11. Koita A. 14. Pierrot F.	26. Coosemans C. (C) 79. Maamar A. 55. Kana M. 3. Hey L. 58. Ozcan Y. 74. De Cat N. 24. Llansana E. 21. Huerta Valera C. S. 11. Hazard T. 12. Dolberg K. 19. Angulo N.
Substitutes
81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 55. Chrysopoulos K. 6. Jonsson J. 9. Jovic L. 34. Kosidis C. 23. Ljubicic R. 29. Penrice J. 21. Vida D. 90. Zini	6. Augustinsson L. 91. Bertaccini A. 22. Dao E. 83. Degreef T. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 23. Rits M. 13. Saliba N. 4. Simic J. 29. Stroeykens M. 78. Tajaouart A. 20. Vazquez L. 10. Verschaeren Y.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Hasi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Huerta Valera C. S. 🟨,
23', Dolberg K. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Koita A. ⚽, Eliasson N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
46', Ozcan Y. ↓, Augustinsson L. ↑,
46', De Cat N. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Kutesa D. ⚽, Pineda O. (A),
59', Rota L. 🟨,
68', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
69', Maamar A. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
73', Pierrot F. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
73', Eliasson N. ↓, Ljubicic R. ↑,
78', Kutesa D. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
85', Angulo N. 🟨,
88', Koita A. ↓, Vida D. ↑,
90+3', Llansana E. 🟨,
90+8', Augustinsson L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Anderlecht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
24.08.25	AEK Athens - Panserraikos	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Anderlecht - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
14.08.25	AEK Athens - Aris Limassol	3:1 ET ✺
07.08.25	Aris Limassol - AEK Athens	2:2 ✺
31.07.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWTT
- Anderlecht
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Anderlecht - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.08.25	Dender EH - Anderlecht	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.08.25	Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Anderlecht - Sheriff Tiraspol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Anderlecht - AEK Athens	1:1

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