Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 25

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Albania	SuperSport 5
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Philippines	beIN Connect
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Levante		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	7	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.52	4	6	Watch
	1.53	4.18	6.75
	1.52	4.1	6.71	Watch
	1.44	4.2	7
	1.49	4.3	6.72	Watch
	1.52	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)	4.09 ↓ (4.29)	6.52 ↓ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
62.6%

Draw
23%

Ferrol
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.9%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

20.9%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	8.8%	14.7%

Levante - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 26 - 76.5%). Ferrol will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 62.2% – 90.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 4. Dela 7. Brugue R. 9. Romero I. 14. Cabello J. 16. Varela Pampin D. 20. Rey O. 21. Lozano S. 22. Sanchez M. 23. Martinez P. (C) 24. Alvarez C.	25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 3. Correa R. 6. Sanz A. 10. Sene J. 14. Gelardo A. 17. Dorrio J. 9. Jauregi E. 21. Blanco R.
Substitutes
38. Espi C. 30. Fernandez V. 19. Fores A. 10. Iborra V. 6. Kochorashvili G. . Miquel I. 11. Morales J. 29. Navarro M. 13. Pastor A. (G) 32. Primo A. (G) 31. Xavi Grande	7. Borrego C. 23. Cabaco E. 26. Carballo D. 15. Castro D. 1. Emilio (G) 27. Garcia N. 11. Nacho 24. Perea L. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)
Coaches
Calero J.	Menendez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Dorrio J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Jauregi E. 🟨,
54', Cabello J. 🟨,
62', Lozano S. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
62', Romero I. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
74', Brugue R. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
74', Martinez P. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
77', Gelardo A. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
80', Blanco R. ↓, Cabaco E. ↑,
80', Jauregi E. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
85', Sanchez M. ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
90+4', Sanz A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Levante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Levante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Levante is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Levante: Kochorashvili G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Injury) Manzanara F. (Muscle Injury) Martinez B. (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Levante to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Levante won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.3:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Levante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
25.01.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Levante	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Levante - Granada	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Cádiz - Levante	0:0 ✺
07.01.25	Tenerife - Levante	0:3 ✺
22.12.24	Levante - Huesca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTWT
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
19.01.25	Racing Santander - Ferrol	6:0 ✺
11.01.25	Ferrol - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.25	Ferrol - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
18.12.24	Ferrol - Almería	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.24	Ferrol - Levante	0:0
18.02.24	Ferrol - Levante	0:0
16.10.23	Levante - Ferrol	1:0

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