Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia)

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Germany	Laola1
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Levski Sofia		Kairat

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.40	6.25	Watch
	1.65	3.50	6.00
	1.60	3.55	5.75	Watch
	1.64	3.70	6.22
	1.6	3.73	6.32	Watch
	1.57	3.65	6.15
	1.63	3.52	6.48	Watch
	1.63	3.60	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	6.15 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levski Sofia
58.4%

Draw
26.3%

Kairat
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.7%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levski Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levski Sofia's performance.

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kairat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kairat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	12.8%	5.1%

Levski Sofia - Kairat Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Kairat (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Levski Sofia will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 2 - 50%). Kairat (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. (C) 31. Serafimov N. 20. Centelles A. 19. Moubarik M. 18. Trdin G. 35. Serginho 11. Oko-Flex A. 17. Everton Bala 7. Reinaldo	1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 22. Mendonsa G. 13. Oksanen J. 8. Baybek O. 28. Gual M. 9. Edmilson 19. Jukkola O.
Substitutes
2. Hevertton S. 27. Kusso D. 78. Lukov M. (G) 4. Makoun C. 10. Mitkov A. 9. Perea J. 77. Raychev A. 22. Soula M. 28. Stoyanchov S. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)	81. Bekbolat I. 15. Birkurmanov M. 30. Buch D. (G) 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 32. Nurgaliev A. 6. Sadybekov A. 25. Shirobokov A. 20. Tapalov E. 59. Tashpulatov D. 17. Tuyakbaev A.
Coaches
Velazquez J.	Urazbakhtin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Serafimov N. ↓, Soula M. ↑,
60', Edmilson ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
61', Baybek O. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
64', Oko-Flex A. ↓, Mitkov A. ↑,
77', Gual M. ↓, Tapalov E. ↑,
77', Jukkola O. ↓, Birkurmanov M. ↑,
78', Reinaldo ↓, Perea J. ↑,
88', Mendonsa G. ↓, Shirobokov A. ↑,
90', Everton Bala ↓, Stoyanchov S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Soula M. (A),
90+4', Serginho 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Levski has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kairat is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kairat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Levski is considered a favorite.

We predict that Levski will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levski Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.08.26	Levski Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - Levski Sofia	2:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.07.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.26	Levski Sofia - Universitatea Craiova	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.07.26	Levski Sofia - Dunav Ruse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWW
- Kairat Almaty
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Kairat - Omonia	2:0 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Kairat - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.26	Omonia - Kairat	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
18.07.26	Atyrau - Kairat	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.26	Sutjeska - Kairat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW

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