Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Billericay Town		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.25	5.15
	1.5	4.71	4.84
	1.48	4.79	4.9	Watch
	1.44	4.2	4.8
	1.55	4.49	4.92
	1.52	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	4.49 ↑ (4.28)	4.89 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
61%

Draw
20.3%

Lewes
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.4%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.4%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Billericay Town - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Ruff C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Collis T. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Merrifield F. ⚽,
90+3', Rogers L. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Billericay won 3.

Billericay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Lewes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lewes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lewes has had a series of away games.

In this match, Billericay is considered a favorite.

We predict that Billericay will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Billericay won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:13. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Billericay won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2.3:1.2).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Lewes: 4.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15:11	4	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.01.26	Billericay Town - St Albans City	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Chatham Town - Billericay Town	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Billericay Town - Brentwood Town	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Billericay Town - Hashtag United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWWL
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.01.26	Lewes - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ramsgate - Lewes	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Lewes - Welling United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.02.25	Billericay Town - Lewes	4:2
12.10.24	Lewes - Billericay Town	2:2
06.02.24	Lewes - Billericay Town	0:3
20.01.24	Billericay Town - Lewes	5:0
25.02.23	Lewes - Billericay Town	1:1
24.09.22	Billericay Town - Lewes	2:1
08.03.16	Billericay Town - Lewes	1:1

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