Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 32

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Lewes		Hendon

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.6	3.1
	2	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.87)	3.5 ↑ (3.44)	3.2 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
46.3%

Draw
25.7%

Hendon
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.5%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

22.1%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lewes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Lewes - Hendon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Bassett D. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lewes won 0.

Recent matches Lewes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hendon is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Lewes have a series of guest games.

Lewes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lewes won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Lewes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.02.25	Billericay Town - Lewes	4:2 ✺
08.02.25	Lewes - Potters Bar Town	2:3 ✺
04.02.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Lewes	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Hastings United - Lewes	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Dover Athletic - Lewes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTWT
- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.02.25	Hendon - Dartford	2:3 ✺
11.02.25	Whitehawk - Hendon	2:2 ✺
04.02.25	Cheshunt - Hendon	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Hendon - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Wingate & Finchley - Hendon	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.11.24	Hendon - Lewes	0:0
05.03.16	Lewes - Hendon	2:2
29.02.16	Hendon - Lewes	2:0
07.02.15	Lewes - Hendon	1:2
04.10.14	Hendon - Lewes	2:1
01.04.14	Lewes - Hendon	0:2
31.08.13	Hendon - Lewes	N/A

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