Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lexington		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.58	3.29	2.54
	2.65	3.27	2.47	Watch
	2.89	3.2	2.37	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.32)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.58 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
35.6%

Draw
28.7%

Loudoun United
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Lexington - Loudoun United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ketterer L. (G) 6. Hafferty J. 5. Burks K. 27. Gilbert G. 37. Goldthorp E. 11. Epps M. 3. Djeffal S. 80. Williams D. (C) 71. Adedokun M. 8. Nick Firmino 99. Burke C.	23. Fauroux H. (G) 3. Tingey K. 5. Leerman Y. 17. Santos P. 32. Tubbs G. 7. Leggett W. 8. Nyeman M. 4. McCabe T. (C) 11. Aboukoura A. 15. Bidois R. 10. Valot F.
Substitutes
14. Barbir D. 16. Caceres E. 22. Greene J. 17. Lancaster C. 83. Mbongue H. 24. Sargeant K. 31. Thompson B. (G)	19. Dagnachew S. 55. Erlandson J. 88. Hurge A. 30. Jack R. (G) 20. Mines B. 13. Nagy A. 14. Ryan Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Adedokun M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Nyeman M. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
62', Bidois R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
65', McCabe T. 🟨,
73', Hafferty J. 🟨,
80', Leggett W. ↓, Hurge A. ↑,
81', Goldthorp E. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
81', Epps M. ↓, Sargeant K. ↑,
85', Nick Firmino ↓, Greene J. ↑,
90+1', Valot F. ↓, Erlandson J. ↑,
90+4', Burke C. ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 1, Erlandson J. ⚽,

Preview

Lexington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Loudoun is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lexington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL Championship
19.04.25	Lexington - Monterey Bay	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Lexington - Las Vegas Lights	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	El Paso Locomotive - Lexington	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.25	Columbus Crew 2 - Lexington	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
29.03.25	Lexington - San Antonio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLL
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
19.04.25	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Louisville City - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Loudoun United - Virginia Dream	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWW

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