Match Info

League One - Round 46

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane Road (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	Sky Sports+


	Leyton Orient		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.8	3.9	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.2
	1.78	3.7	4.15	Watch
	1.81	4.06	4.22
	1.83	3.69	4.06	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.8
	1.81	3.82	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.96)	3.77 ↑ (3.53)	4.04 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
52%

Draw
24.8%

Burton Albion
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Leyton Orient - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dennis W. (G) 14. Craig M. 6. Forrester W. (C) 4. Simpson J. 3. Morris J. 28. Clare S. 22. Abdulai A. 11. Mitchell D. 25. Wellens C. 10. Connolly A. 32. Ballard D.	24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 18. Moon J. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 12. Evans G. 8. Webster C. 3. Armer J. 7. McKiernan J. J. 9. Beesley J. 11. Tavares F.
Substitutes
15. Bakinson T. 33. Cahill K. (G) 8. El Mizouni I. 5. Happe D. 2. James T. 24. Levitt D. 20. Perkins S.	26. Delap F. 27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 10. Shade T. 6. Sibbick T. 5. Vancooten T.
Coaches
Wellens R.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Forrester W. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Tavares F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Clare S. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Craig M. (A),
54', Morris J. 🟨,
55', Evans G. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Hartridge A. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
59', Simpson J. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
63', Tavares F. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
68', Abdulai A. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
68', Craig M. ↓, James T. ↑,
78', Connolly A. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
82', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
82', Moon J. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
90', Beesley J. ↓, Delap F. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 20 and 18)

Leyton Orient has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Leyton Orient is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Edmonds-Green R. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Knee Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Revan S. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Burton	13	4	5	4	18:19	-1	17
16	Leyton Orient	12	4	2	6	16:14	2	14

Outrights of English League One for now

Leyton Orient: 0.81% Burton: 0.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League One
25.04.26	Blackpool - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Leyton Orient - Rotherham United	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Leyton Orient - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lincoln City - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Leyton Orient - Huddersfield Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Burton Albion
English League One
25.04.26	Burton Albion - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Peterborough United - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Mansfield Town - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Burton Albion - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.11.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	0:4
01.04.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	2:1
14.12.24	Leyton Orient - Burton Albion	0:0
17.02.24	Leyton Orient - Burton Albion	1:2
28.10.23	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	0:0

Upcoming Matches