The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 44.4%
Draw 27.2%
Burton Albion 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.3%
27.3%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
26.8%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Mansfield Town - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Burton will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 47.7% โ 95.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Lewis H. (G) 4. Hewitt E. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 7. Akins L. 25. Reed L. (C) 40. Abbott G. 3. McLaughlin S. 24. Hendry R. 44. Irow O. 19. Adeboyejo V.
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 18. Moon J. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 19. Williams D. 4. Chauke K. 3. Armer J. 8. Webster C. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.
Substitutes
11. Evans W. 2. Knoyle K. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 18. Oates R. 29. Roberts T. 13. Russell J. 5. Sweeney R.
27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 22. Larsson J. 7. McKiernan J. J. 6. Sibbick T. 11. Tavares F. 5. Vancooten T.
Coaches
Clough N.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Hendry R. 🟨,
38', Reed L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Reed L. ↓, Moriah-Welsh N. ↑,
46', Hendry R. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
52', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
54', McLaughlin S. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
60', Irow O. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
62', Shade T. 🟨,
75', Webster C. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
76', Armer J. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
77', Adeboyejo V. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
85', Moon J. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
86', Williams D. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
86', Chauke K. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1.
Mansfield is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Burton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Mansfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Mansfield: Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Maris G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Calf Injury)
Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Burton: Evans G.
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).