The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 40.4%
Draw 29.4%
AFC Wimbledon 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
27.4%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
26.3%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burton Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
42.9%
0%
Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Addai C. (G) 6. Sibbick T. 12. Evans G. (C) 26. Delap F. 15. Lofthouse K. 41. Krubally S. 4. Chauke K. 3. Armer J. 14. Collar W. 8. Webster C. 18. Vickers C.
20. McDonnell J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 26. Sweeney D. 6. Johnson R. (C) 7. Tilley J. 10. Nelson Z. 12. Smith A. 21. Hippolyte M. 3. Seddon S. 19. McNeilly D. 9. Stockley J.
Substitutes
23. Adiele E. 29. Adom K. 24. Araujo H. 27. Dudek K. (G) 31. Lewis J. 40. Scutt Z. 20. Sraha J.
1. Bishop N. (G) 5. Harrison O. 8. Maycock C. 18. McCoy-Splatt D. 33. Ogundere I. 29. Sasu A. 2. Sessegnon S.
Coaches
Bowyer G.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽, Tilley J. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Evans G. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Smith A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 3 - 1, Webster C. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
61', McNeilly D. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
61', Nelson Z. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
61', Sweeney D. ↓, Sessegnon S. ↑,
65', Evans G. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
65', Collar W. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
72', Yiadom A. 🟨,
76', 4 - 1, Vickers C. ⚽, Krubally S. (A),
81', Vickers C. ↓, Adiele E. ↑,
83', Armer J. 🟨,
90+1', Armer J. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
90+1', Lofthouse K. ↓, Scutt Z. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3.
In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wimbledon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Burton could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Burton won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.8:0.6).