Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 34

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Leyton Orient		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.88	3.18	2.65
	2.75	3.13	2.62	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.7
	2.78	3.09	2.59	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.2)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	2.62 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
33.6%

Draw
30.3%

Charlton Athletic
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

30.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leyton Orient's form might have worsened.

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlton Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlton Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Leyton Orient - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Charlton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 22. Galbraith E. 45. Edmonds-Green R. 6. Cooper B. 3. Sweeney J. 18. Pratley D. (C) 8. Brown J. 20. Perkins S. 17. Donley J. 44. Markanday D. 23. Kelman C.	25. Mannion W. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. (C) 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 18. Anderson K. 26. Small T. 8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 24. Godden M.
Substitutes
47. Abdulai A. 7. Agyei D. 15. Ball D. 28. Clare S. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 26. Phillips N. (G) 9. Williams R.	22. Aneke Ch. 10. Docherty G. 17. Gilbert A. 11. Leaburn M. 15. McIntyre T. 37. Reid T. (G) 27. Watson T.
Coaches
Wellens R.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 0, Brown J. ⚽,
67', Berry L. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
67', Anderson K. ↓, Docherty G. ↑,
68', Edwards J. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
77', Coventry C. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
77', Perkins S. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
82', Markanday D. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
85', Donley J. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Gillesphey M. ⚽, Gilbert A. (A),
90+7', 1 - 2, Ramsay K. ⚽, Gilbert A. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 2.

Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Charlton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Currie J. (Red Card) Graham J. (Injury) Happe D. (Injury) James T. (Injury)

There will not play in Charlton: Maynard-Brewer A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Beckles O. (Injury) Clare S. (Injury) O'Neill O. (Injury) Simpson J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Ahadme G. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League One
25.02.25	Birmingham City - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Wrexham - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Leyton Orient - Lincoln City	3:2 ✺
11.02.25	Leyton Orient - Mansfield Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW
- Charlton Athletic
English League One
22.02.25	Charlton Athletic - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.02.25	Charlton Athletic - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Charlton Athletic - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Blackpool - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	0:2
English League One
17.08.24	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	1:0
26.12.23	Leyton Orient - Charlton Athletic	1:0
05.08.23	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	1:0
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	1:1
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Leyton Orient - Charlton Athletic	1:0
10.11.20	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	3:1

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