The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charlton Athletic 65.2%
Draw 21.9%
Exeter City 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
22.2%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
21.7%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
8.3%
33.3%
Charlton Athletic - Exeter City Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Mannion W. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. (C) 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 26. Small T. 6. Coventry C. 8. Berry L. 18. Anderson K. 7. Campbell T. 24. Godden M.
1. Whitworth J. (G) 14. Niskanen I. 2. McMillan J. 25. MacDonald A. 4. Hartridge A. 18. Harper V. 23. Colwill J. 47. Richards J. 7. Mitchell D. 21. Trevitt R. 27. Magennis J. (C)
Substitutes
22. Aneke Ch. 17. Gilbert A. 29. Kanu D. 11. Leaburn M. 15. McIntyre T. 37. Reid T. (G) 27. Watson T.
12. Cole R. 8. Francis E. 16. Jones P. S. 11. Oluwabori A. 3. Purrington B. 6. Woods R. 30. Yogane T.
Coaches
Jones N.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Niskanen I. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, MacDonald A. (Own goal),
31', Niskanen I. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Richards J. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
51', Mitchell D. 🟨,
55', Colwill J. 🟨,
64', Mitchell D. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Campbell T. ⚽,
69', Anderson K. 🟨,
73', Small T. 🟨,
75', Berry L. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
75', Godden M. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
79', Trevitt R. ↓, Jones P. S. ↑,
79', Colwill J. ↓, Oluwabori A. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Leaburn M. ⚽,
86', Coventry C. ↓, McIntyre T. ↑,
86', Campbell T. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
89', Edwards J. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
90+5', Gillesphey M. 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 3.
Charlton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Exeter is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Charlton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Charlton is certain favorite.
There will not play in Charlton: Ahadme G.
(Injury)
Watson T.
(Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Charlton: Maynard-Brewer A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Exeter: Cox S.
(Inactive)
Fitzwater J.
(Injury)
Sweeney P.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Charlton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 4:1.5).