Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 26

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)


	Birmingham City		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.75	6	Watch
	1.61	3.8	6.23
	1.61	3.68	5.86	Watch
	1.62	3.6	6
	1.62	3.7	6.06	Watch
	1.6	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	3.71 ↓ (3.9)	5.99 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
58.8%

Draw
25.4%

Leyton Orient
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.8%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	4.8%	14.3%

Birmingham City - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Allsop R. (G) 2. Laird E. 4. Klarer C. (C) 25. Davies B. 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 30. Dowell K. 18. Willumsson W. T. 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 9. May A.	24. Keeley J. (G) 22. Galbraith E. 45. Edmonds-Green R. 6. Cooper B. 12. Currie J. 18. Pratley D. (C) 8. Brown J. 44. Markanday D. 17. Donley J. 7. Agyei D. 23. Kelman C.
Substitutes
6. Bielik K. 31. Hanley G. 7. Hansson E. 26. Harris L. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 23. Sampsted A.	47. Abdulai A. 15. Ball D. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 20. Perkins S. 26. Phillips N. (G) 3. Sweeney J. 9. Williams R.
Coaches
Davies C.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Currie J. 🟥,
16', Markanday D. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
16', Kelman C. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Gardner-Hickman T. ⚽,
54', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
54', Agyei D. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
66', Galbraith E. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
66', Donley J. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
67', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
67', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, Hansson E. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Laird E. ⚽, Klarer C. (A),
85', Dowell K. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
90', Pratley D. 🟨,
90+1', Laird E. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
90+1', May A. ↓, Bielik K. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Birmingham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Hansson E. (Injury) Leonard M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Injury) James T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Anderson K. (Injury) Stansfield J. (Injury) Wright S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Beckles O. (Injury) Clare S. (Injury) Cooper B. (Injury) O'Neill O. (Injury) Simpson J. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League One
22.02.25	Reading - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.02.25	Birmingham City - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
English League One
15.02.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.02.25	Birmingham City - Cambridge United	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Birmingham City - Newcastle United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWWL
- Leyton Orient
English League One
22.02.25	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Wrexham - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Leyton Orient - Lincoln City	3:2 ✺
11.02.25	Leyton Orient - Mansfield Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Leyton Orient - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.08.24	Leyton Orient - Birmingham City	1:2

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