Match Info

Championship - Round 21

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)


	Birmingham City		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.75	Watch
	1.56	4.13	5.87	Watch
	1.57	4.13	6.14
	1.57	4.07	5.93	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5.5
	1.57	3.9	5.73	Watch
	1.55	4	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	4.02 ↑ (3.85)	5.89 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
60.5%

Draw
23.5%

Charlton Athletic
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.6%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

24.1%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Allsop R. (G) 24. Iwata T. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 7. Doyle T. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 16. Roberts P. 28. Stansfield J. 10. Gray D. 33. Ducksch M.	1. Kaminski T. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. (C) 3. Gillesphey M. 6. Coventry C. 28. Bree J. 22. Olaofe T. 37. Fullah I. 14. Carey S. 11. Leaburn M. 18. Anderson K.
Substitutes
14. Anderson K. 41. Cashin E. 17. Dykes L. 9. Furuhashi K. 30. Koumas L. 12. Leonard M. 48. Mayo B. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 6. Robinson J.	30. Apter R. 8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 10. Docherty G. 41. Knibbs H. 38. Laqeretabua J. 25. Mannion W. (G) 26. Rankin-Costello J. 15. Roussillon J.
Coaches
Davies C.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Klarer C. ⚽, Doyle T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Olaofe T. 🟨,
56', Allsop R. 🟨,
60', Ducksch M. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
60', Roberts P. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
64', Cochrane A. 🟨,
65', Coventry C. ↓, Rankin-Costello J. ↑,
65', Fullah I. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Campbell T. ⚽,
75', Carey S. ↓, Docherty G. ↑,
78', Neumann P. 🟨,
80', Anderson K. 🟨,
82', Neumann P. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
87', Stansfield J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
88', Olaofe T. ↓, Laqeretabua J. ↑,
88', Anderson K. ↓, Knibbs H. ↑,
89', Knibbs H. 🟨,
90+6', Rankin-Costello J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.

In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Charlton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Muscle Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Godden M. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Cochrane A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Charlton: Bell A. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
09.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Southampton - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
01.12.25	Birmingham City - Watford	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Birmingham City - Norwich City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTW
- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
09.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Southampton	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Wrexham - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.02.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:0
05.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	1:0
English League Cup
13.08.24	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	0:1
English League Championship
15.07.20	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:1
14.09.19	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	0:1
02.04.16	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	2:1
21.11.15	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	0:1

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