Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Leyton Orient		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.4
	2.75	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.78	3.55	2.52
	2.74	3.41	2.46	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.73	3.58	2.44	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.12)	3.46 ↑ (3.31)	2.46 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
34.3%

Draw
27.3%

Wrexham
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.3%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.5%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Leyton Orient - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 19. Beckles O. 4. Simpson J. 6. Cooper B. 2. James T. 28. Clare S. 15. Ball D. 12. Currie J. 17. Donley J. 23. Kelman C. 22. Galbraith E.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 6. O'Connor T. 7. McClean J. (C) 8. Cannon A. 15. Dobson G. 38. Lee E. 11. Marriott J. 9. Palmer O.
Substitutes
7. Agyei D. 8. Brown J. 10. Graham J. 24. Keeley J. (G) 21. O'Neill O. 18. Pratley D. 16. Warrington L.	13. Burton C. (G) 12. Evans G. 26. Fletcher S. 19. Mendy J. 10. Mullin P. 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Wellens R.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', O'Connell E. 🟨,
28', Dobson G. 🟨,
41', Clare S. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
45+2', Cannon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Beckles O. 🟨,
55', Cannon A. ↓, Evans G. ↑,
59', Cooper B. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
65', Marriott J. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
65', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
70', Donley J. ↓, Graham J. ↑,
88', Cleworth M. ↓, Scarr D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wrexham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League One
24.09.24	Leyton Orient - Peterborough United	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Stockport County - Leyton Orient	1:4 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.24	Brentford - Leyton Orient	3:1 ✺
English League One
14.09.24	Reading - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Leyton Orient - Arsenal U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWLWL
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
21.09.24	Wrexham - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Birmingham City - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.09.24	Wrexham - Salford City	2:1 ✺
English League One
07.09.24	Wrexham - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Peterborough United - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.03.19	Leyton Orient - Wrexham	1:0
English FA Trophy
12.01.19	Wrexham - Leyton Orient	0:1
English National League
24.11.18	Wrexham - Leyton Orient	0:2
21.04.18	Leyton Orient - Wrexham	1:0
28.10.17	Wrexham - Leyton Orient	2:2

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