Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	6.5
	1.46	4.4	6.5
	1.45	4.75	6.5
	1.46	4.74	6.57
	1.46	4.51	6.4	Watch
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.47	4.4	6.6	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)	4.55 ↑ (4.2)	6.57 ↑ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
64.9%

Draw
20.8%

Crawley Town
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Wrexham - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 6. O'Connor T. 7. McClean J. (C) 8. Cannon A. 15. Dobson G. 38. Lee E. 10. Mullin P. 9. Palmer O.	1. Wollacott J. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 20. Mukena J. 28. Flint J. 12. Camara P. 26. Williams J. (C) 6. Anderson M. 19. Kelly J. 18. Quitirna A. 10. Darcy R. 9. Swan W.
Substitutes
13. Burton C. (G) 12. Evans G. 26. Fletcher S. 11. Marriott J. 20. Rathbone O. 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.	22. Adeyemo A. 5. Barker C. 16. Beach E. (G) 4. Bragg C. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 23. Ibrahim B. 29. Showunmi T.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Lindsey S.

Preview

Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wrexham is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wrexham to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
16.09.24	Birmingham City - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.09.24	Wrexham - Salford City	2:1 ✺
English League One
07.09.24	Wrexham - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Peterborough United - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Wrexham - Reading	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW
- Crawley Town
English League One
14.09.24	Crawley Town - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Crawley Town - Barnsley	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crawley Town	4:0 ✺
English League One
24.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Crawley Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.04.24	Wrexham - Crawley Town	4:1
07.10.23	Crawley Town - Wrexham	0:1

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