Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brentford		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	13	Watch
	1.28	5.75	10.5
	1.26	6	13	Watch
	1.25	6.17	11.95
	1.26	6.1	11.16	Watch
	1.33	5	9
	1.27	5.95	11	Watch
	1.25	6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.47)	5.84 ↑ (4.33)	11.58 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
75.4%

Draw
16.3%

Leyton Orient
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.9%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

21.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brentford's performance.

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leyton Orient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brentford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	5.6%	0%

Brentford - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 30. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 4. van den Berg S. 16. Mee B. 21. Meghoma J. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 6. Norgaard C. 28. Trevitt R. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 14. Carvalho F.	24. Keeley J. (G) 2. James T. 4. Simpson J. 6. Cooper B. 3. Sweeney J. 16. Warrington L. 17. Donley J. 15. Ball D. 29. Obiero Z. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 20. Perkins S.
Substitutes
22. Collins N. 13. Cox M. (G) 27. Janelt V. 36. Kim Ji-Soo 26. Konak Y. E. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 19. Mbeumo B. 5. Pinnock E. . Yogane T.	7. Agyei D. 19. Beckles O. 28. Clare S. 22. Galbraith E. 10. Graham J. 1. Hemming Z. (G) 23. Kelman C. 21. O'Neill O. 18. Pratley D.
Coaches
Frank T.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Cooper B. ⚽, James T. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Carvalho F. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Damsgaard M. ⚽, Carvalho F. (A),
39', Donley J. 🟨,
42', Simpson J. 🟨,
45', 3 - 1, Norgaard C. ⚽, Carvalho F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Galbraith E. ↑,
53', Perkins S. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
60', Norgaard C. 🟨,
63', Norgaard C. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
69', Simpson J. 🟨,
71', Obiero Z. ↓, Beckles O. ↑,
71', Donley J. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
71', Ball D. ↓, Pratley D. ↑,
76', Trevitt R. ↓, Mbeumo B. ↑,
76', Damsgaard M. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
76', van den Berg S. ↓, Kim Ji-Soo ↑,
84', Meghoma J. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Brentford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brentford is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brentford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English Premier League
14.09.24	Manchester City - Brentford	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Brentford - Southampton	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	Colchester United - Brentford	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
25.08.24	Liverpool - Brentford	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Brentford - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW
- Leyton Orient
English League One
14.09.24	Reading - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Leyton Orient - Arsenal U21	1:2 ✺
English League One
31.08.24	Shrewsbury Town - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Millwall - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
English League One
24.08.24	Leyton Orient - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.03.14	Leyton Orient - Brentford	0:1
23.09.13	Brentford - Leyton Orient	0:2
22.01.13	Brentford - Leyton Orient	2:2
13.09.12	Leyton Orient - Brentford	1:0
17.03.12	Leyton Orient - Brentford	N/A

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