Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy

Date: 10 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Baines D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Wrexham		Salford City

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7.5
	1.38	4.4	6.25
	1.4	4.75	6.5
	1.41	4.67	6.4
	1.44	4.56	6.54	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.5
	1.4	4.75	6.64
	1.4	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)	4.6 ↑ (4.06)	6.48 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
65.6%

Draw
20.1%

Salford City
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.7%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

22.2%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Wrexham - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Burton C. (G) 17. Bolton L. 3. Brunt L. 24. Scarr D. 25. Boyle W. 19. Mendy J. 14. Forde A. 30. Jones J. 23. Revan S. 10. Mullin P. (C) 22. Faal M.	13. Young M. (G) 32. Shephard L. 19. Mnoga H. 29. Garbutt L. 11. Taylor J. 7. Watson R. 33. Austerfield J. 8. Lund M. 10. N'Mai K. 27. Kouassi K. 18. McAleny C.
Substitutes
45. Ashfield H. 29. Barnett R. 4. Cleworth M. 21. Howard M. (G) 34. James A. 9. Palmer O. 20. Rathbone O.	31. Adelakun H. 2. Edwards T. 22. Luamba J. 5. Negru S. 9. Stockton C. 14. Woodburn B.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Mullin P. ⚽, Revan S. (A),
25', Faal M. 🟨,
34', Shephard L. ↓, Edwards T. ↑,
35', Bolton L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kouassi K. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, McAleny C. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
56', Taylor J. 🟨,
64', Taylor J. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
64', Watson R. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
68', Mendy J. ↓, Cleworth M. ↑,
68', Forde A. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
68', Mullin P. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
78', Revan S. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
78', Bolton L. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
79', N'Mai K. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Austerfield J. (Own goal),

Preview

Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Salford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wrexham is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
07.09.24	Wrexham - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Peterborough United - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Wrexham - Reading	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Bolton Wanderers - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Sheffield United - Wrexham	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWTL
- Salford City
English League Two
02.09.24	Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Chesterfield - Salford City	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Salford City - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
English League Two
17.08.24	Bradford City - Salford City	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Salford City - Doncaster Rovers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.02.24	Salford City - Wrexham	3:1
14.10.23	Wrexham - Salford City	3:2
English National League
01.01.19	Salford City - Wrexham	2:0
26.12.18	Wrexham - Salford City	5:1

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