Match Info

Jia League - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Liaoning Tieren		Dalian Kun City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.27	5	9	Watch
	1.33	5.09	8.75
	1.33	4.9	9.04	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.32	5.67	7.55	Watch
	1.27	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.6)	4.81 ↑ (4.04)	7.94 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
69%

Draw
19.3%

Dalian Kun City
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

22.7%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Kun City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Kun City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Kun City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 41. Zheng Zhiyun 37. Zhang Jiaming 5. Li Peng 28. Xu Dong 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. 14. Zang Yifeng 9. Mbenza G.	29. Fan Jinming (G) 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 5. Lin Longchang 6. Song Zhiwei 2. Wei Lai 15. Ji Zhengyu 8. Wu Y. 23. Yin Lu 20. Chen Rong 41. Deng Chunze 30. Mushekwi N.
Substitutes
1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 6. Gao Jiarun 11. Gui Zihan 32. Mao Kaiyu 33. Sun Weijia 36. Tian Deao 16. Wang Tianci 12. Wu Jiongde (G) 25. Yang Jian 17. Zhao Jianbo	17. Chen Jiaqi 28. Cui Hao 26. Cui Ming'an 44. Kotnik A. 39. Lei Wenjie 18. Lu Pin 1. Ma Kunyue (G) 9. Ning F. 14. Wang H. 16. Wang Zhuo (G) 12. Zhao Shuhao 25. Zhuang Q.
Coaches
Li Jinyu	Cespedes O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Felipe (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Chen Rong ↓, Lei Wenjie ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Felipe (A),
56', Zheng Zhiyun ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
59', Yin Lu 🟨,
63', Wu Y. ↓, Cui Hao ↑,
63', Deng Chunze ↓, Ning F. ↑,
63', Yin Lu ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
74', Ji Zhengyu 🟨,
77', Samuel A. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
81', Wei Lai ↓, Wang H. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Li Peng (Own goal),
90+3', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 7).

Liaoning Tieren has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Dalian Kun City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Liaoning Tieren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Liaoning Tieren is considered a favorite.

We predict that Liaoning Tieren will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
04.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren	1:3 ✺
22.04.25	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Juniors	7:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW
- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
03.05.25	Dalian Kun City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Dalian Kun City - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Kun City	3:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Wenzhou Professional - Dalian Kun City	0:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Dalian Kun City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLWT

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