Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Liaoning Tieren		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.45
	2.48	3.7	2.42	Watch
	2.58	3.7	2.55
	2.56	3.56	2.51	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.61	3.65	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.59)	3.6 ↓ (3.73)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
36.8%

Draw
25.9%

Yunnan Yukun
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

24.5%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Liaoning Tieren - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Zhang Yan (G) 3. Pan Ximing 26. Yuan Mincheng 6. Vagic P. 11. Chen Binbin 35. Li Haoran 18. Li Tixiang 8. Yan Dinghao 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 7. Kouame A. 47. Jeffinho	23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 19. Huang Zichang 5. Shi Ke 33. Burca A. 21. Yang Zihao 34. Caio Vinicius 8. Xu Xin 30. Saeter J. 10. Ionita II A. (C) 9. Cleber 11. Taty Maritu O.
Substitutes
27. Gao Jiarun 21. Han Rongze (G) 9. Mbenza G. 30. Pang Shenghan 36. Tian Deao 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 4. Tian Ziyi 28. Xu Dong 14. Zang Yifeng 34. Zhang H. 37. Zheng Jiacheng	39. Abdusalam B. 1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 32. Chen Yuhao 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 28. Rong J. 17. Sun Xuelong 14. Wang Xinghao (G) 18. Yi Teng 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 15. Zhang Yufeng 6. Zhao Yuhao
Coaches
Kolic S.	Vinyals J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Huang Zichang ⚽, Xu Xin (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pan Ximing ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
61', Li Haoran ↓, Mbenza G. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Cleber (A),
67', Li Tixiang ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
78', Saeter J. ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
83', Huang Zichang ↓, Chen Yuhao ↑,
83', Taty Maritu O. ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
87', Ionita II A. ↓, Abdusalam B. ↑,
87', Xu Xin ↓, Yi Teng ↑,
90', Kouame A. ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Mbenza G. ⚽,
90+4', Chen Yuhao 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

Liaoning Tieren has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Yunnan Yukun is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Liaoning Tieren: Felipe (Yellow Cards) Li Peng (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Ye Chugui (Injury) Zhang Chenliang (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54:51	3	38
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
05.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Young Boy	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Liaoning Tieren	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
06.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Zhejiang Professional	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	1:3 ✺
21.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
03.11.24	Liaoning Tieren - Yunnan Yukun	2:1
30.06.24	Yunnan Yukun - Liaoning Tieren	5:0

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