Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción)


	Libertad Asuncion		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.70	4.75
	1.55	3.70	4.80
	1.62	3.70	5.00	Watch
	1.66	3.90	5.86
	1.7	3.84	4.64	Watch
	1.61	3.60	5.80
	1.62	3.86	5.22	Watch
	1.55	3.70	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 (1.61)	3.75 (3.75)	5.12 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
57.3%

Draw
24.6%

Rubio Ñu
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.5%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.2%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Rubio Ñu (2.00) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubio Ñu (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Benitez A. 3. Rojas R. 4. Gimenez N. 14. Fretes A. 6. Campuzano A. (C) 19. Franco I. 8. Carrizo F. 7. Manzur A. 11. Vera E. 26. Ramirez I.	25. Fragueda F. (G) 13. Cabanas V. 31. Blasi B. 3. Vallejos J. 19. Garrone M. 7. Alfonso E. 8. Rojas R. (C) 15. Nunez C. 36. Gimenez C. 27. Ledesma A. 40. Perez E.
Substitutes
9. Aguilar G. 13. Bogarin J. 28. Fernandez M. 31. Fernandez T. 5. Flores G. 1. Gonzalez A. (G) 33. Martinez C. 32. Nequecaur L. 21. Sanabria L. 30. Vera O. R. 24. Villalba R.	18. Acosta M. 29. Alfonso O. 5. Alvarez Benitez P. 2. Ferreira R. 26. Fretes S. 16. Gonzalez J. 23. Leiva T. 32. Maldonado L. (G) 10. Mendieta W. 35. Montiel L. 20. Paez A. 9. Ruiz Diaz R.
Coaches
Valdez N.	Torrente J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Manzur A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Vallejos J. ⚽, Rojas R. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Vera E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Perez E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Garrone M. ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
46', Ledesma A. ↓, Leiva T. ↑,
46', Nunez C. 🟨,
47', Cabanas V. 🟨,
62', Manzur A. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
63', Alfonso E. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
63', Perez E. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Vera E. ⚽,
70', 4 - 1, Vera E. ⚽, Benitez A. (A),
71', Franco I. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
71', Ramirez I. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
72', Rojas R. ↓, Montiel L. ↑,
81', Vera E. ↓, Bogarin J. ↑,
81', Campuzano A. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
89', Rojas R. 🟨,
90', 4 - 2, Mendieta W. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Libertad has had a series of away games.

In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Libertad Asuncion	13	8	2	3	21:14	7	26
10	Rubio Nu	13	3	3	7	15:24	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
20.08.26	Tacuary - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWW
- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.09.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	2:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
25.08.26	General Caballero JLM - Rubio Ñu	2:3 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.08.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
21.04.26	Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion	3:0
20.02.26	Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:1
09.11.17	Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion	2:4
22.07.17	Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:0
08.05.17	Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:1
24.02.17	Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion	0:0
09.12.16	Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion	0:1

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