Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Libertad Asuncion		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6
	1.5	3.9	5.75
	1.47	4	6
	1.55	4	5.2
	1.57	4.38	5.76
	1.52	3.9	6	Watch
	1.53	4.25	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.4)	4.06 ↓ (4.46)	5.75 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
61%

Draw
22.8%

San Lorenzo
16.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20.9%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.7%

17.8%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Libertad is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Libertad won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Copa Libertadores
23.09.20	Caracas - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.09.20	Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.09.20	Libertad Asuncion - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.20	Club General Díaz - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
05.09.20	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLWW
- San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.09.20	San Lorenzo - Club General Díaz	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Guaireña - San Lorenzo	4:0 ✺
06.09.20	San Lorenzo - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
31.08.20	Sportivo Luqueño - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
25.08.20	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
25.07.20	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	1:2
29.09.19	Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:0
14.07.19	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	0:1
05.05.19	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	3:4
03.03.19	Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:1
05.12.15	Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo	1:1
13.09.15	San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.10.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	✺
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.26	Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo	✺

Libertad Asuncion - San Lorenzo