Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday


	Caracas		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.1
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.25	3.35	2.14
	3.5	3.15	2.11
	3.6	3.41	2.16
	3.4	3	2.1	Watch
	3.48	3.4	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.98)	3.27 ↑ (3.13)	2.12 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
27.2%

Draw
28.6%

Libertad Asuncion
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

29.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.6%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	17.6%	64.7%

Caracas - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 9 - 17.6%). Libertad will win (votes: 33 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 51.6% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Caracas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Libertad is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Libertad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Caracas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Caracas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.04.22	Caracas - Monagas	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	The Strongest - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.04.22	Caracas - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
17.04.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Caracas	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - Caracas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TTWLL
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.04.22	General Caballero JLM - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	4:0 ✺
20.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - Resistencia	2:2 ✺
17.04.22	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
13.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - Caracas	2:1
23.09.20	Caracas - Libertad Asuncion	2:1
10.03.20	Libertad Asuncion - Caracas	3:2

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