Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gran Mamore (Trinidad)

Referee: Quenta G. (Bol)


	Libertad Gran Mamoré		Independiente Petroleros

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.8	3.35	4.35
	1.9	3.57	3.97
	1.85	3.64	4.1	Watch
	1.8	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.93)	3.54 ↓ (3.63)	4.14 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Gran Mamoré
51.3%

Draw
26.3%

Independiente Petroleros
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

24.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Gran Mamoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Petroleros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Gran Mamoré than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Petroleros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Libertad Gran Mamoré - Independiente Petroleros Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gran Mamoré will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Sandy D. (G) 22. Gil S. 31. Virreira J. 3. Zazpe L. (C) 4. Rodriguez D. 32. Mendoza M. 8. Bejarano A. 26. Rodriguez R. 37. Salces M. 53. Barbery Gil M. G. 19. Medina A.	13. Arauz G. (G) 28. Morales Paz O. J. 5. Diaz E. (C) 3. Velasquez E. 25. Castellon D. 65. Flores L. 23. Rivera E. 30. Bejarano A. 11. Godoy J. 4. Lucas Gaucho 10. Thomaz
Substitutes
6. Aleman J. 30. Gomez Perez J. P. 42. Montenegro L. 10. Oni F. 12. Paniagua R. (G) 9. Rios D. 27. Taborga Y. 87. Tellez M. 16. Tomicha P. 70. Torelli Souza P.	27. Arroyo M. 34. Castedo L. (G) 35. de Lima M. 26. Edenilson 9. Pedriel R. 6. Pena B. 18. Quiroga M. 50. Valda O.
Coaches
Pena J. E.	Pena A.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 8).

Libertad Gran Mamoré is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Independiente Petroleros is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Petroleros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Libertad Gran Mamoré is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Libertad Gran Mamoré won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Gran Mamoré
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.08.23	Universitario de Vinto - Libertad Gran Mamoré	1:1 ✺
31.07.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Nacional Potosí	3:2 ✺
22.07.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Libertad Gran Mamoré	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.07.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Jorge Wilstermann	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.07.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Always Ready	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWLLL
- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.08.23	Always Ready - Independiente Petroleros	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.08.23	Independiente Petroleros - Aurora	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Blooming - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
24.07.23	Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
21.07.23	Vaca Díez - Independiente Petroleros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
10.03.23	Independiente Petroleros - Libertad Gran Mamoré	4:0

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