Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday


	Liepāja		Paide LM

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.90	6.74	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.45
	2.32	3.74	2.41	Watch
	2.57	3.66	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.94)	3.68 ↓ (4.25)	3.51 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liepāja
45%

Draw
26.9%

Paide LM
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

21.8%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Liepāja - Paide LM Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	56. Sapp M. (G)
	4. Andrade
	28. Hoim O.
	2. Lilander M.
	10. Miller M.
	24. Nigula R.
	8. Ojamaa H.
	20. Piht K.
	11. Sohna M. P.
	3. Victor Hugo
	43. Willian Lins
Substitutes
	30. Badamosi A.
	27. Baranov N.
	17. Cham P. A.
	99. Jarju E. (G)
	. Jobarteh M.
	49. Lehtmaa H.
	39. Murulaid R.
	. Smirnov R.
	16. Surogin A.
	57. Vassilenko K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Liepāja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liepāja will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
09.11.25	Super Nova - Liepāja	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Liepāja - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Riga - Liepāja	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTWL
- Paide LM
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Paide LM - Tartu Welco	5:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.11.25	Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus	3:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
29.10.25	Paide LM - Tammeka	3:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
26.10.25	Paide LM - Flora Tallinn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWT

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