Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	12:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bolivia	11:15	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	12:15	Xsports
Cambodia	22:15	MyTV
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
China	23:15	Migu
Colombia	10:15	ESPN 4
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:15	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	17:15	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Ecuador	10:15	ESPN 4
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	19:15	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:15	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	22:15	Vidio
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	17:15	ART Sport 6
Mexico	09:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Paraguay	11:15	ESPN 4
Peru	10:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	17:15	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	18:15	Voyo
Russia	18:15	Okko Prime
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	17:15	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	17:15	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	00:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	18:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	22:15	ON Plus
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Nice		Lille

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.10	3.50	2.20
	3.25	3.45	2.15	Watch
	3.31	3.47	2.29
	3.15	3.58	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.25
	3.3	3.65	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.7	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.47)	3.55 ↑ (3.46)	2.2 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
29.7%

Draw
26.9%

Lille
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.2%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	14.8%	81.5%

Nice - Lille Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lille (2.20) (votes: 82%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Lille will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Diouf Y. (G) 5. Abdelmonem M. 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 35. Mandza Tsiendi X. 92. Clauss J. 39. Coulibaly D. 28. Witsel A. (C) 27. Nkounkou N. 7. Hein G. 9. Amoura M. 11. Wahi E.	1. Ozer B. (G) 22. Santos T. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 21. Andre B. (C) 6. Bentaleb N. 8. Mbappe E. 10. Haraldsson H. 19. Onal B. 18. Ueda A.
Substitutes
2. Abdi A. 6. Boudaoui H. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 10. Diop S. 21. Jansson I. 84. Koutoune H. 29. Ngoumou N. 87. Pereira E. 36. Seidu A.	7. Bakwa D. 26. Cossier I. 12. Gill O. (G) 9. Giroud O. 14. Kjaergaard M. 17. Mukau N. 28. Perrin G. 11. Sahraoui O. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Ancelotti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Abdelmonem M. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Ngoy N. (Own goal),
45+1', Mandza Tsiendi X. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Mbappe E. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
57', Amoura M. 🟨,
58', Ndayishimiye Y. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
64', Onal B. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
64', Andre B. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
64', Haraldsson H. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Amoura M. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
73', Coulibaly D. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,
74', Wahi E. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
77', Bentaleb N. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
77', Amoura M. ↓, Ngoumou N. ↑,
78', Nkounkou N. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Ueda A. ⚽, Kjaergaard M. (A),
90+1', Kjaergaard M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.

Nice is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lille shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lille holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Nice: Abergel L. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Mendy A. (Knee Injury) Sanson M. (Surgery).

Confirmed absences for Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Nianzou T. (Knock).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nice has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:23 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nice against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:9 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	5	15
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 3.5% Nice: 0.26%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nice - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nice - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Hull City - Nice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTT
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
13.09.26	Lille - Troyes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Lille - Betis	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.09.26	Toulouse - Lille	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Angers - Lille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
18.04.26	Lille - Nice	0:0
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0
17.01.25	Lille - Nice	2:1
10.11.24	Nice - Lille	2:2
19.05.24	Lille - Nice	2:2
11.08.23	Nice - Lille	1:1
29.01.23	Nice - Lille	1:0

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