Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lille		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.62	Watch
	4.80	3.90	1.68
	4.9	3.85	1.68
	5.37	4.05	1.68
	4.9	4.13	1.68	Watch
	5.1	4	1.66
	5.18	4.17	1.72	Watch
	5.2	4.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (4.11)	4.03 ↑ (3.8)	1.67 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
18.9%

Draw
23.8%

Paris Saint-Germain
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

24.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.4%	6.2%	83.3%

Lille - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Lille (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - PSG (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (40 of 48 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.79% – 93.87%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 1 - 16.7%). PSG (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 22. Santos T. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 21. Andre B. (C) 6. Bentaleb N. 8. Mbappe E. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 9. Giroud O.	39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 4. Beraldo L. 8. Ruiz F. 11. Akliouche M. 9. Torres F. 14. Doue D.
Substitutes
18. Bakwa D. 16. Bodart A. (G) 26. Cossier I. 35. Diaoune S. 17. Mukau N. 19. Onal B. 28. Perrin G. 11. Sahraoui O. 24. Verdonk C.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Digne L. 27. Fernandez D. 22. Godts M. 21. Hernandez L. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 16. Longoni A. (G) 24. Mayulu S. 6. Zabarnyi I.
Coaches
Ancelotti D.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Giroud O. (A),
39', Ruiz F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Doue D. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
52', Andre B. 🟨,
61', Andre B. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
61', Correia F. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
63', Beraldo L. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
68', Mbappe E. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
72', Torres F. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
72', Ruiz F. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
78', Akliouche M. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
80', Haraldsson H. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Bakwa D. ⚽, Giroud O. (A),
90+1', 2 - 1, Vitinha ⚽, Godts M. (A),
90+4', Perraud R. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Marquinhos ⚽, Vitinha (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 0.

In this match, PSG is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Fernandez-Pardo M. (Transfer negotiations) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Nianzou T. (Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Barcola B. (Inactive) Dembele O. (Rest) Mbaye I. (Inactive) Mendes N. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:49. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1.1:2.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 70.91% Lille: 4.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
6	PSG	5	2	2	1	8:7	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Paris Saint-Germain - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.17%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
23.08.26	Angers - Lille	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Everton - Lille	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Lille	3:6 ✺
18.07.26	Lille - RAAL La Louvière	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Lille - Auxerre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWL
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
23.08.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
French Super Cup
16.08.26	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
UEFA Super Cup
12.08.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Mallorca - Paris Saint-Germain	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:0
05.10.25	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
01.03.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	4:1
01.09.24	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3
10.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:1
17.12.23	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
19.02.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	4:3

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