Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	02:45	Migu
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	5 LIVE Israel, 5 PLUS Israel
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
Kyrgyzstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	FOX One
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Nigeria	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	02:45	Cignal Play
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Russia	21:45	Okko Prime
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Africa, Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkmenistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Uzbekistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
International	18:45	OneFootball TV


	Paris Saint-Germain		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	1.17	8.50	13.00	Watch
	1.18	8.50	12.00
	1.13	8.50	16.00	Watch
	1.17	9.16	16.59
	1.15	9.7	17.5	Watch
	1.15	8.95	16.00
	1.18	8.58	13.10	Watch
	1.16	8.80	15.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↑ (1.08)	8.84 ↓ (11.5)	14.9 ↓ (19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
82.7%

Draw
10.9%

Le Mans
6.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

86.9%

8.2%

4.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Paris Saint Germain - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 82.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - PSG (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +5 - Le Mans (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 80%). Le Mans (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. (C) 6. Zabarnyi I. 21. Hernandez L. 12. Digne L. 87. Neves J. 4. Beraldo L. 27. Fernandez D. 11. Akliouche M. 9. Torres F. 22. Godts M.	98. Kocik N. (G) 15. Boisse N. 17. Yohou S. (C) 5. Voyer H. 8. Lauray A. 26. Bamba R. 29. Bretelle L. 10. Vercruysse J. 22. Calodat L. 13. Diallo H. 14. Mafouta L.
Substitutes
30. Chevalier L. (G) 14. Doue D. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 5. Marquinhos 47. Ndjantou Q. 51. Pacho W. 8. Ruiz F. 17. Vitinha 33. Zaire-Emery W.	7. Brahimi B. 18. Buades L. 25. Gueye D. 20. Harhouz W. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 76. Larouci Y. 9. Rabillard A. 16. Torrente R. 23. Traore D.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Videira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Beraldo L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Diallo H. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
47', Gueye D. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Mafouta L. ⚽, Calodat L. (A),
58', Neves J. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
58', Fernandez D. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
59', Beraldo L. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
59', Godts M. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽,
65', Mafouta L. 🟨,
66', Vercruysse J. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Akliouche M. ⚽, Zaire-Emery W. (A),
72', Hakimi A. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
72', Mafouta L. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
73', Lauray A. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
77', Calodat L. ↓, Larouci Y. ↑,
90+2', Bamba R. 🟨,
90+2', Brahimi B. 🟨,
90+3', Doue D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', (Penalty overturned),

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10th).

PSG has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Le Mans has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Le Mans may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to PSG as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for PSG: Dembele O. (Rest) Longoni A. (Injury) Mayulu S. (Groin Injury) Mendes N. (Rest).

Confirmed absences for Le Mans: Bourabaa A. (Ankle Injury) Colas E. (Injury) Eyoum T. (Coach's decision) Quarshie E. (Coach's decision) Rossignol M. (Injury) Sidibe D. (Yellow Cards).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, PSG has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:1 (averaging 3.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for PSG against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	8	5	2	1	16:9	7	17
15	Le Mans	8	1	4	3	11:16	-5	7

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 79.14% Le Mans: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
20.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Slovan Bratislava	6:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLT
- Le Mans FC
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Guingamp - Le Mans	2:1
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Le Mans - Lorient	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Le Mans - Lens	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Nice - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Rennes - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
04.02.25	Le Mans - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
Club Friendly
14.07.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Mans	4:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
18.12.19	Le Mans - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4

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