Match Info

UEFA Super Cup - Final

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Artan O. A. (Som)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Paris Saint-Germain		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	5.5
	1.60	4.20	5.25
	1.62	4	5.5
	1.65	4.2	5.8
	1.63	4.13	5.4
	1.61	4.1	5.55
	1.61	4.16	5.93
	1.62	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.76)	4.16 ↑ (3.86)	5.54 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
59.5%

Draw
23.2%

Aston Villa
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.7%	9.1%	10.2%

Paris Saint Germain - Aston Villa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - PSG (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (4.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (71 of 87 users predict this - 81.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.47% – 89.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 8 - 80%). Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 87. Neves J. 11. Akliouche M. 14. Doue D. 7. Kvaratskhelia K.	40. Bizot M. (G) 2. Cash M. 3. Lindelof V. 14. Torres P. 22. Maatsen I. 8. Kamara B. 35. Joao Gomes 7. McGinn J. (C) 53. Hemmings G. 10. Buendia E. 39. Madjo B.
Substitutes
29. Barcola B. 4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 10. Dembele O. 12. Digne L. 27. Fernandez D. 21. Hernandez L. 24. Mayulu S. 49. Mbaye I. 47. Ndjantou Q. 8. Ruiz F. 6. Zabarnyi I.	18. Abraham T. 47. Alysson 60. Asemota O. (G) 6. Barkley R. 26. Bogarde L. 49. Burrowes B. 48. Cisse M. 74. Lynch L. 5. Mings T. 32. Nedeljkovic K. 45. Rowe T. 42. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Doue D. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Madjo B. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Akliouche M. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
51', Torres P. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Doue D. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
64', Joao Gomes 🟨,
72', Madjo B. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
72', Kamara B. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
72', McGinn J. 🟨,
73', McGinn J. ↓, Alysson ↑,
75', Neves J. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
75', Mendes N. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
79', Torres P. ↓, Mings T. ↑,
79', Joao Gomes ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
87', Doue D. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
88', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Red Bull Arena.

Aston Villa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.

In this match, PSG is the team to beat.

There will not play in PSG: Boly D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Onana A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Muscle Injury) Manzambi J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Mallorca - Paris Saint-Germain	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Paris FC - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW
- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Bayern Munich - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Pathum United - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Liga 1 All-Stars - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
28.07.26	Aston Villa - Real Sociedad	2:4 ✺
25.07.26	Porto - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
15.04.25	Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain	3:2
09.04.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa	3:1

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