Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Lillestrøm SK		Ranheim

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	8
	1.24	6.5	9	Watch
	1.25	6.38	9.23
	1.36	4.91	6.81	Watch
	1.26	6.56	8.07
	1.41	4.75	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)	5.93 ↑ (4.93)	7.81 ↑ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
72.3%

Draw
15.8%

Ranheim
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

18.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

17.9%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Ranheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lillestrøm SK - Ranheim Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Lillestrøm (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lillestrøm SK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hedenstad M. (G) 64. Larsson E. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 5. Foss S. 19. Tonnesen K. 32. Woxen H. 6. Hoff V. 17. Kitolano E. 26. Paintsil Y. 33. Diop M. 20. Felix Va	1. Nilsen S. (G) 22. Haukeberg T. B. 2. Slordahl P. (C) 4. Rosten H. 15. Tonne E. 8. Holden O. 18. Camara F. 7. Skjelbred P. 16. Diop S. 21. Johnsen M. 10. Samuelsen A.
Substitutes
7. Alperud L. 15. Drammeh S. 11. Elkaer F. 4. Garnas E. B. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 8. Karlsbakk M. 2. Ranger L.	26. Berisha J. 14. Emilsen M. 13. Fagerhaug M. V. 30. Solvoll T. (G) 17. Torp-Helland D. 11. Wenaas V.
Coaches
Odegaard H.	Rismark Ch.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Paintsil Y. ⚽, Hoff V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Haukeberg T. B. ⚽, Samuelsen A. (A),
57', Woxen H. ↓, Karlsbakk M. ↑,
57', Diop M. ↓, Drammeh S. ↑,
60', Skjelbred P. ↓, Emilsen M. ↑,
62', Gabrielsen R. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Drammeh S. ⚽, Kitolano E. (A),
80', Paintsil Y. ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
80', Tonnesen K. ↓, Elkaer F. ↑,
80', Holden O. ↓, Berisha J. ↑,
80', Samuelsen A. ↓, Wenaas V. ↑,
90', Johnsen M. ↓, Torp-Helland D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 7).

Lillestrøm is Qualified for Eliteserien

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 3.

Lillestrøm is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ranheim is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ranheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lillestrøm is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.25	Odd - Lillestrøm SK	1:7 ✺
17.10.25	Lillestrøm SK - Lyn	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.25	IFK Göteborg - Lillestrøm SK	0:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.10.25	Lillestrøm SK - Hødd	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Moss - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWW
- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.25	Ranheim - Mjøndalen	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Odd - Ranheim	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ranheim - Egersund	0:4 ✺
29.09.25	Raufoss - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Start - Ranheim	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.06.25	Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK	0:4
18.10.20	Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK	1:1
08.09.20	Lillestrøm SK - Ranheim	3:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.11.19	Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK	2:1
07.04.19	Lillestrøm SK - Ranheim	2:1
28.10.18	Ranheim - Lillestrøm SK	3:2
22.04.18	Lillestrøm SK - Ranheim	0:1

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